GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
Nov 20, 2026even chance by
- October 3118%▼ 2
- November 1544%▲ 8
- November 3065%▲ 14
2 more
- December 1580%▲ 5
- December 3180%▼ 5
Install
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
The odds
30%December 31
- December 3130%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
December 31: 23% on Oct 20, 30% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $23.7K | ||
| December 31 | 30% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $5.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: SpaceX, Google
Search ›-
US military gives Elon Musk’s SpaceX access to sensitive tracking dataThis gives the company an advantage in tracking objects in orbit, raising national security concerns and fears of greater control over the space industry The US military has given Elon Musk’s SpaceX access to restricted space tracking… -
SpaceX coverage network designs draw Wall Street's eye. Here's what analysts thinkFollowing news that SpaceX is in talks to access as many as 80,000 cell sites to grab market share from the Big Three telecoms, some analysts on Wall Street are making a key distinction that may shed ... -
SpaceX satellite system back up to full speed in Ukraine, officials sayCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 6pm CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 6pm CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm What's in Season with Michael Marks CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Musk says SpaceX restricted Ukraine's Starlink connection as service restoredElon Musk has said his company SpaceX restricted Ukraine's Starlink internet service, after Ukrainian officials said connectivity issues appeared to have been resolved. Kyiv has not officially commented on Musk's latest claim but Ukrainian… -
SpaceX closes $40 billion debt deal for AI chips, Elon Musk saysElon Musk said SpaceX has closed $40 billion in debt financing to purchase graphics processing units, or GPUs, used to power artificial intelligence systems. In a post on X on Sunday, Musk said SpaceX had closed the financing, adding that… -
Google CEO Larry Page explains his vocal cord paralysisMay 15, 2013 / 11:57 AM EDT / CBS/AP SAN FRANCISCOGoogle CEO Larry Page said on his Google Plus profile that he has a problem with his vocal cords that makes it difficult for him to speak and breathe occasionally. However, the executive… -
Musk confirms SpaceX was behind thwarting of Ukraine’s Starlink access: ‘Evil warmongers’Elon Musk has all but confirmed his company SpaceX was the one that throttled Ukraine’s access to its crucial satellite internet system, undermining the country at a vulnerable time in its fight against Russia. Musk claimed Saturday that… -
Elon Musk says SpaceX closed Ukraine Starlink ‘loophole’ after limits hit drone operationsElon Musk has said his company imposed limits on the use of its Starlink satellite system in Ukraine last week, after curbs led to disruption to Ukrainian military operations. Ukraine said Saturday that both Starlink, run by Musk’s SpaceX… -
Calls of the Day: SpaceX and ServiceNowThe Investment Committee debates the latest Calls of the Day. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox Get this ... Calls of the Day: SpaceX and ServiceNow -
Now Google says it might use your Gmail and Google Photos data to target adsGoogle has updated its privacy policy in a way that could mean you'll start seeing targeted ads based on your personal data if you're using personalized AI features. The update, spotted by Android Authority, adds an exception to its… -
Google Quietly Updates Privacy Policy to Let Gmail and Photos Data Feed AdsA policy change effective Oct. 16 carves out an exception to Google’s long-standing pledge—letting connected Gmail, Drive, and Photos data personalize ads through its Personal Intelligence AI features. - The exception hinges on Personal… -
Robotic Arm Grapples SpaceX Dragon at International Space Station Space WallpaperSpace.com is the premier source of space exploration, innovation and astronomy news, chronicling (and celebrating) humanity's ongoing expansion across the final frontier. Originally founded in 1999, Space.com is, and always has been, the…
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All ai ›Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
57%Anthropic
- Anthropic57%▲ 5
- Google32%▼ 3
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- xAI1%
- Meta1%
- Alibaba1%
- Moonshot<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
89%Google
- Google89%▲ 3
- Anthropic9%
- OpenAI1%
18 more
- Meta<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Alibaba<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
48%December 31, 2027
- December 31, 202613%▼ 1
- December 31, 202748%▼ 8
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.27Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.27T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T84%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
73%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3173%
- October 2717%▲ 4
- October 294%▼ 1
11 more
- October 313%▲ 3
- October 283%▼ 1
- October 302%
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
- October 26<1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions