PolymarketPoliticsCloses Dec 31 · $127K traded · $4.9K at stake · prices read 8 min ago
The odds
1%December 31
December 311%
How the odds have moved
December 31: 2% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
July 31
<1%
0¢
$112K
August 31
<1%
0¢
$681
December 31
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
$14.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Love affair to staged arrest: how a Romanian from England was jailed in Russia as a spyNew York Post · 5 days agoSpringtime in a park. Grey sky. A young man in a blue knitted hat and Adidas backpack walks down a path. Two burly security agents spring from a van and pin him to the pavement. “David Adrian Kercso,” he swiftly responds. Where is he from?…
Ukrainian, Romanian PMs discuss defense, energy, logistics@ukrinform · 3 days agoAccording to Ukrinform, Koretskyi reported this on Facebook. Both sides discussed Russia's attack on a civilian vessel off the Romanian coast, which killed one Ukrainian sailor, injured four others and left three missing. Six people were…
Koretsky discusses defense, energy, and logistics with Romanian PMInterfax-Ukraine · 2 days agoUkrainian Prime Minister Serhiy Koretsky has held a telephone conversation with Romanian Prime Minister Luca Niculescu. Among other topics, they discussed a Russian strike on a civilian vessel off the coast of Romania, which resulted in…
Hearts of Iron IV Romania Focus Pack Starts as Greater Romania Facing Three RivalsHappyGamer · 4 days agoCatch up: Hearts of Iron IV Review-Bombed on Steam Over Reported Atatürk Ban. It’s a tough opening hand. Romania sits at its biggest, and everyone around it knows it. The first part of the diary comes from a developer who goes by Norrman…
EU blames Russia after cargo ship sinks off RomaniaDefence Blog · 4 days agoA drone strike sank a merchant ship carrying Ukrainian and Azerbaijani sailors off Romania’s Black Sea coast on Oct. 23, 2026, killing one crew member and leaving three missing, prompting European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen…
Romania Atypic Beauty GalaPost Register · 4 days agoPost Register - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) Models wait backstage before the Atypic Beauty Gala fashion show, an event promoting inclusion and equal opportunities for people with disabilities…
Romania’s Dan Air Files For Insolvency ProceedingsAviation Week Network · 3 days agoRomania-based Dan Air has filed for insolvency proceedings and could become the second airline in the country to suspend operations after local competitor Animawings temporarily suspended its ... Romania’s Dan Air Files For Insolvency…
Romania blames Russia for attacking cargo ship in Black Sea@ukrinform · 3 days agoAFP reported this, according to Ukrinform. In a Facebook post, Dan said the Comoros-flagged cargo ship Khoryv was "struck by a drone and sank near Romanian territorial waters." Later, speaking to journalists, the Romanian President said…
Romania Blames Russia for Deadly Drone Attack on Cargo ShipThe Moscow Times · 3 days agoRomania said Friday that one sailor had died and three were missing after a drone struck and sank a ship in the Black Sea, with the country's president blaming Russia for the attack. The cargo ship Khoryv, flying the Comoros flag, was…
European solar, BESS marketplace expands to Romaniapv magazine Global · 4 days agoEuropean renewable energy marketplace Solmeria has expanded to include solar and battery energy storage systems (BESS) in Romania. The marketplace, which spans ground-mounted PV, agriPV, C&I solar and BESS projects at all stages of…
New Minister of Culture in Romania - FilmNewEurope.comFilmNewEurope.com · 4 days agoBUCHAREST: Ioana Ruxandra Victoria Ciocan was officially invested as the new Minister of Culture of Romania on 20 October 2026 as the new PM’s Luca Niculescu’s Cabinet received the parliamentary vote of confidence and was officially sworn…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions