María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 22?
The last odds before it closed
8%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 2% on Oct 19, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | ▲ 8 | 16¢ | $6.29 | $1.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: White House
Search ›-
Gutfeld: Trump won’t be in the White House foreverFox News host Greg Gutfeld and the ‘Gutfeld!’ panel analyze recent insults from former President Barack Obama against President Donald Trump. Gutfeld: Trump won’t be in the White House forever Fox News host Greg Gutfeld and the ‘Gutfeld!’… -
White House defends Trump after archbishop calls prayer moment 'manipulated' ahead of midtermsPresident Donald Trump joins Catholic bishops and archbishops for a moment of prayer inside the Oval Office. The White House on Monday defended President Donald Trump after Milwaukee Archbishop Jeffrey Grob publicly apologized for… -
WATCH LIVE: Trump departs the White House for campaign rallyThe president is traveling to Mississippi to rally for the midterms. WATCH LIVE: Trump departs the White House for campaign rally The president is traveling to Mississippi to rally for the midterms. -
Bessent compares Obama library to 'Darth Vader's tomb' after ex-president criticized White House renovationsTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins Brian Kilmeade to discuss President Donald Trumps economic crackdown on Iran, mounting pressure on the Iranian regime, trade tensions with Canada and Mexico and the outlook for the U.S. economy. A key… -
White House is sued again over media bans as press groups seek wider injunctionPress freedom groups on Monday sued the Trump administration, alleging in federal court that attempting to bar CNN, MS NOW and Politico from the White House violates the First Amendment rights of ordinary citizens to access information… -
Gavin Newsom’s blunt four-word response to rumors Nicki Minaj will be White House press secretaryGov. Gavin Newsom’s office weighed in on rumors that rapper Nicki Minaj could join the White House as press secretary — reviving a months-old beef with the MAGA-friendly ‘Beez in the Trap’ songstress. White House staffers appeared to float… -
Trump fires back at Obama over ‘Cheesecake Factory’ jab about White House: ‘Shows why you were a lousy president’WASHINGTON — President Trump fired back Monday at Barack Obama’s weekend jab comparing Trump’s White House renovations to a branch of The Cheesecake Factory, claiming his predecessor did not take proper care of the historic residence. “For… -
Trump isn't done overhauling the White House — and his next move could hit the media where it worksFox News chief legal correspondent Shannon Bream discusses the Supreme Court's decision on President Donald Trump's White House ballroom on 'Special Report.' President Donald Trump is considering giving the White House press corps the boot… -
Catholic bishops accuse Trump White House of turning prayer into campaign photo opArchbishop Jeffrey Grob of Milwaukee and bishop William Joensen of Des Moines, who were among the 12 bishops who met administration officials last Thursday, issued separate statements of regret over the weekend. Archbishop Grob issued a… - Trump defends White House redecorating — and Cheesecake Factory — from Obama’s mockingBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. President Donald Trump…
-
Bishops lament White House meeting that produced photo with Trump, say session was "manipulated" and "exploited"October 26, 2026 / 8:14 AM EDT / CBS/AP Milwaukee Archbishop Jeffrey Grob, in a statement titled "A Public Apology," said Sunday that he had received many questions and comments — some of them distraught — about the meeting on Thursday… -
Trump Unloads on Bill Maher in 1,300-Word Post After White House DinnerOct 25, 2026 at 10:07 PM EDT President Donald Trump launched a lengthy attack on comedian Bill Maher on Sunday, calling him a “complete and total loser” in a Truth Social post and telling him not to seek another meeting after previously…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
97%chance▼ 1
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
4%chance▲ 1
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 27, 2026?
38.41%median
38.15%38.85%
Median 38.41%Middle half 38.37% – 38.44%
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
Who will be arrested before 2027?
25%John Brennan
- John Brennan25%▲ 3
- Mahmoud Khalil21%
- James Comey19%▲ 13
21 more
- Lee Jun-seok9%▼ 11
- Susan Rice8%▲ 3
- Anthony Fauci8%▲ 1
- Tom Homan8%▲ 1
- James Clapper6%▲ 1
- Candace Owens6%
- Lisa Cook5%
- Letitia James5%▲ 1
- Pam Bondi5%
- Hillary Clinton5%▲ 3
- Adam Schiff5%▲ 1
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%▲ 1
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
- Brandon Johnson4%▼ 1
- Gavin Newsom3%
- Kash Patel2%
- Loretta Lynch2%
- Bill Clinton2%
- John Kerry2%
- Barack Obama2%
- Joe Biden1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions