Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner
The odds
87%Roger Marshall (R)
- Roger Marshall (R)87%▼ 1
- Adam Hamilton (D)13%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Roger Marshall (R): 72% on Oct 20, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Marshall (R) | 87% | ▼ 1 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | $2.9K |
| Adam Hamilton (D) | 13% | ▲ 2 | 12¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $1.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Senate, Leavenworth County
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Kansas Senate race tightens as Marshall’s billing practices face scrutinyEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Kansas Senate Race Remains TightA new Red Box Research poll in Kansas finds Roger Marshall (R) leading Adam Hamilton (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 45%. Kansas Senate Race Roger Marshall (R) 46% Adam Hamilton (D) 45% Red Box Research poll · likely voters · ±3.2% The… -
Kansas Senate Candidate's Megachurch Tells Kids Ministry Staff to Stop Saying 'Boys and Girls'The largest United Methodist congregation in America is telling children’s ministry workers to ditch terms like “boys” and “girls” in favor of gender-neutral alternatives, and one source of inspiration listed on the guidance comes from a… -
Vice President JD Vance rallies for Roger Marshall in Topeka as Kansas Senate race enters final stretchVice President JD Vance rallied for Sen. Roger Marshall in Topeka, criticizing Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton and announcing new USDA funding for Kansas. The ceasefire is meant to allow aid deliveries and the evacuation of civilians… -
Trans Democrat Avery Rowland makes LGBTQ rights central to Kansas midterms runAvery Rowland is running for Kansas House District 2 in the 2026 midterms in November 3 elections. The Democrat shared her views exclusively with HT.com. Rowland is facing Republican Daniel Muter and while she gears up for the showdown… -
As Senate race draws national attention, unaffiliated voters outnumber Democrats in KansasMore Kansas voters are registered as unaffiliated than Democratic, according to the secretary of state. “This has been a long-term trend that tracks back to the early, mid-2000s," said Zach Mohr, a professor in the University of Kansas'… -
Senate candidate Adam Hamilton visits Kansas, speaks on issues during statewide bus tourWICHITA, Kan. (KWCH) - While Vice President J.D. Vance is in Topeka to rally for incumbent Senator Roger Marshall, his opponent in next week’s election is reaching Kansans in a different way. Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton is in the… -
Kansas' US Senate election between Sen. Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton carries national ramificationsThe battle for the U.S. Senate seat in Kansas has major implications for the balance of power in the Senate, and, for the first time in nearly 100 years, polls say the race is unexpectedly competitive. Incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall is… -
Kansas Democrats, Republicans lean into voter engagement strategies in top-of-ticket racesSHAWNEE — Becca Peck demonstrated personal commitment to getting out the vote by knocking on 4,627 doors for the Johnson County Democratic Party. Her total stands as the best this year among party volunteers in Johnson County, but that… -
Politico Posts Love Letter to 'Dust Bunny' Democrat Opposition Research Hero in KansasYou can just feel the love oozing out of almost every sentence in a Politico story about an opposition research dirt digger. The party? Democrat of course. Anyone who is familiar with the over-the-top biases of Politico would know there is… -
Kansas judge retention elections: Who’s on the ballot and what to know about their recordTwo state supreme court justices and five appellate court judges are up for a vote in November's election on whether they should keep their seats. Nearly all were appointed by a Democratic governor. By GRACE HILLSKCUR Radio All Kansas… -
The Church Abuse Allegations Shaking Kansas Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 12:43 PM EDT Allegations that the Democratic candidate failed to effectively investigate alleged sexual assaults targeting children more than 20 years ago have become a focal point in the closing weeks of the Kansas Senate…
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South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
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Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions