OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

Polymarket Tech › AI For Sun 11:59 PM ET · $3.3K today · $15.6K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 17 h ago

The odds

189.92Tmedian
155.00T205.00T
Median 189.92TMiddle half 187.37T – 192.46T

How the odds have moved

Median: 171.68T on Oct 20, 189.92T now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<165T <1% ▼ 4 0¢ $1.9K
165-175T <1% ▼ 5 0¢ $1.8K
175-185T 2% ▼ 28 0¢ 3¢ $33.33 $4K
185-195T 98% ▲ 19 91¢ 100¢ $5.3K
195T+ <1% ▼ 9 0¢ $2.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenRouter

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

86%Google
  • Google86%▲ 2
  • Anthropic10%▼ 3
  • OpenAI1%
18 more
  • Meta1%
  • Moonshot1%
  • Alibaba<1%
  • Baidu<1%
  • Z.ai<1%
  • Xiaomi<1%
  • SpaceXAI<1%
  • DeepSeek<1%
  • Amazon<1%
  • ByteDance<1%
  • Nvidia<1%
  • Thinky<1%
  • MiniMax<1%
  • Mistral<1%
  • Meituan<1%
  • Tencent<1%
  • StepFun<1%
  • Microsoft<1%
PolymarketCloses Sat 12:00 PM ET · $64.2K today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

63%No release by October 31
  • No release by October 3163%▲ 9
  • October 2714%▼ 2
  • October 296%▼ 5
11 more
  • October 285%▲ 2
  • October 303%▼ 1
  • October 201%▼ 12
  • October 311%
  • October 26<1%▼ 4
  • October 19<1%▼ 2
  • October 21<1%▼ 5
  • October 22<1%▼ 14
  • October 23<1%▼ 4
  • October 24<1%
  • October 25<1%▼ 1
PolymarketCloses Sat 11:59 PM ET · $48.8K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions