Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 19, 2029 · $16.7K traded · $1.8K at stake · prices read 64 min ago

The odds

11%Nicole Malliotakis
  • Nicole Malliotakis11%
  • Josh Huck11%
  • Gus Bilirakis10%
  • Dean Spanos9%
  • Geoffrey Pyatt5%
  • Michael Psaros3%
  • John Catsimatidis<1%

How the odds have moved

Nicole Malliotakis: 12% on Oct 20, 11% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Nicole Malliotakis 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $2.9K
Josh Huck 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 $2K
Gus Bilirakis 10% 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 $4.2K
Dean Spanos 9% 8¢ 9¢ $11.11 $696
Geoffrey Pyatt 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.08 $3.1K
Michael Psaros 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 $162
John Catsimatidis <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Ambassador, Greece, Nicole Malliotakis

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions