Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Keisha Lance Bottoms runs behind Jon Ossoff by...? (First Round)
The odds
42%6-9 points behind
- 6-9 points behind42%▼ 5
- 3-6 points behind41%▲ 8
- 9+ points behind15%▲ 2
- 0-3 points behind2%▲ 1
- Runs ahead1%
How the odds have moved
6-9 points behind: 38% on Oct 20, 42% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 10 PM ET6-9 points behind: 45% → 50%
- Oct 21, 5 PM ET6-9 points behind: 51% → 44%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-9 points behind | 42% | ▼ 5 | 31¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | $1.6K |
| 3-6 points behind | 41% | ▲ 8 | 40¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | $1.5K |
| 9+ points behind | 15% | ▲ 2 | 4¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | $1.8K |
| 0-3 points behind | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $958 |
| Runs ahead | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $737 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Keisha Lance Bottoms, Jon Ossoff
Search ›- Keisha Lance Bottoms at Savannah barbershop talk says flock cameras need a moratoriumFormer Atlanta mayor and Democratic gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms visited Savannah, discussing community issues and advocating for updated policies on flock cameras. Former Atlanta mayor and Democratic candidate for governor…
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Jon Ossoff’s films exposed corruption. Then his colleague was murdered.Breaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. What the Georgia… -
Trump blasts Ossof as ‘far left extremist’ as he touts new Ga. jobs at rallyPresident Trump blasted Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff as a “far-left extremist,” as he promised new jobs at a Georgia rally Saturday. Trump ripped Ossoff for voting for policies he said brought about inflation and record-high illegal… -
Trump comes out swinging at Democrat Jon Ossoff on Georgia campaign stage as Obama unleashes blistering attacks from MichiganBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Donald Trump came out swinging at Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff on Saturday night, wasting little time before mocking the Georgia Democrat's looks and branding his public image a fake… -
Trump Tests Midterm Pull in Georgia With Second Rally in Eight DaysOct 24, 2026 at 04:01 PM EDT President Donald Trump returns to Georgia on Saturday for his second rally in the battleground state in eight days, as Republicans look to his political influence for a boost in two closely watched statewide… -
In tight race for Georgia governor, Keisha Lance Bottoms has been massively outspent but is still confidentThe GOP candidate Rick Jackson is a healthcare executive and billionaire. In battleground Georgia, former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms faces a massive cash disadvantage in the race to replace term-limited Brian Kemp as governor. But… -
'Trump Is Begging Putin For Diesel': Jon Ossoff Alleges Russian Energy Deals Benefit Trump AlliesUS Senator Jon Ossoff has accused the Trump administration of helping broker a multibillion-dollar deal involving Russian energy assets, alleging that people with financial ties to President Donald Trump and his family could benefit from… -
Ossoff criticizes Collins and Trump following Atlanta campaign stopSen. Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg launched an Avondale Estates canvass. ATLANTA - Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg joined Sen. Jon Ossoff in Georgia on Saturday, launching canvassing efforts to mobilize voters 10 days before… -
LIVE: Pres. Trump rallies Republicans in PerryPERRY, Ga. — President Donald Trump is making his presence felt in south Georgia. Saturday night, he’s rallying Republicans in Perry in support of Republican candidates in the state. Watch the rally here: Candidates expected to join the… -
Trump, Obama, Harris descend on Georgia in final push before midterms | On the RecordATLANTA, Ga. (Atlanta News First) — Georgia is entering the final week of the midterm campaign with national figures from both parties converging on the state to drive turnout. President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally Saturday… -
Obama, Trump hit the campaign trail ahead of critical midterm electionsBoth the Democratic and Republican parties are now leaning into presidential power amid early voting for the midterm elections. Millions of americans have already cast their votes. The fight for control of Congress brought two presidents… -
Obama slams Ramaswamy ad using Acton’s estranged mother: 'No office is worth stooping'(TNND) — Former President Barack Obama opened his first rally of the 2026 midterm election cycle with a sharp warning about the stakes of the election and a blistering condemnation of a new campaign ad in Ohio’s governor’s race. Speaking…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions