Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
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Peggy Flanagan runs behind Amy Klobuchar by...?
The odds
34%0-3 points behind
- 0-3 points behind34%▲ 10
- 3-6 points behind22%▲ 6
- 6-9 points behind19%▼ 12
- 9+ points behind18%▼ 1
- Runs ahead7%
How the odds have moved
0-3 points behind: 28% on Oct 20, 34% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 27, 4 AM ET0-3 points behind: 26% → 34%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-3 points behind | 34% | ▲ 10 | 27¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | $1.4K |
| 3-6 points behind | 22% | ▲ 6 | 12¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | $1.2K |
| 6-9 points behind | 19% | ▼ 12 | 18¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $10K |
| 9+ points behind | 18% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $1.5K |
| Runs ahead | 7% | 5¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Peggy Flanagan, Amy Klobuchar
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Obama urges Minnesotans to vote for Peggy Flanagan in Senate raceOctober 26, 2026 / 2:57 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Former President Barack Obama is backing Democratic Senate nominee Peggy Flanagan, urging Minnesotans to vote for her in a video message her campaign posted Monday. "As an organizer, I learned… -
Obama endorses Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan in U.S. Senate raceST. PAUL — Former President Barack Obama has endorsed Democratic Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan for U.S. Senate. In a video release on Monday, Oct. 26, Obama noted that Flanagan worked as an organizer for his first presidential campaign, and… -
Barack Obama endorses Peggy Flanagan in tight Minnesota’s US Senate raceFormer President Barack Obama has endorsed Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan in her bid for the U.S. Senate. In the endorsement video, Obama pledged his support for Flanagan’s push for universal healthcare and mentioned that she was an organizer on… - Peggy Flanagan: People Who Stigmatize Abortion ‘Don't Know What Happens’Ignorance about “what happens” during an abortion is responsible for the stigma attached to the life-ending procedure, Democrat Minnesota Senate candidate Peggy Flanagan claimed after taking a tour of an abortion clinic in her state…
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Embattled Ilhan Omar jokes with Hasan Piker about Trump admin probe — as critics blast event with controversial lefty streamerEmbattled Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) joked with Hasan Piker that the media is fixated on her because of her “good” looks Monday ahead of a controversial event with the far-left antisemitic streamer. Omar made the remark during Piker’s… -
Minnesota Senate Race Shaken by ICE, Fraud and Ilhan Omar ProbeOct 26, 2026 at 03:13 PM EDT Republicans view the Minnesota Senate race as a potential pickup opportunity in the 2026 midterm elections, even as they face an increasingly difficult national environment in the final stretch of the campaign… - Peggy Flanagan and Tim Walz Steered Millions To Pay for Disgusting ‘Booty Bumping’ Kits– that Help Junkies Take Drugs Through ‘the Rectum.’ Minnesota requires the provider of the... Minnesota requires the provider of the booty bumping kits to also give junkies voter registration materials. – WFB. Save my name, email, and…
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Bernie Sanders joins Peggy Flanagan at Duluth rallyMinnesota Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan stopped in Duluth Saturday as part of her “Got Your Back” tour, just ten days ahead of the election. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison both joined her… -
Minnesota Democrats divided over Hasan Piker’s Minneapolis event with Ilhan Omar and Omar FatehPiker, a left-wing streamer with millions of followers, appears Monday evening at a sold-out event hosted by DFL state Sen. Omar Fateh. Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s campaign called a number of his statements “reckless and unacceptable.” Minnesota… -
Ilhan Omar joins 'polarizing and dangerous' streamer at campaign event despite Democratic backlashMinnesota GOP U.S. Senate nominee Michele Tafoya discusses her race against Democratic nominee Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and the allegations involving Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., on ‘The Big Weekend Show.’ Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., is set to… -
Sen. Bernie Sanders promotes Peggy Flanagan, Keith Ellison at Duluth rallyDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - Democratic candidates vying for key roles that would represent Minnesota visited Duluth Saturday night, encouraging residents to head to the polls. Crowds gathered for a rally at Lincoln Park Middle… -
Jewish leader calls on Flanagan, Ellison to condemn Hasan Piker ahead of Minneapolis eventHasan Piker is scheduled to appear with Rep. Ilhan Omar and state sen. Omar Fateh Monday night in Minneapolis, a gathering that has increasingly divided Minnesota Democrats and drawn criticism from leaders across the state. Steve Hunegs…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions