Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

Polymarket World › Russia & Ukraine Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $22.6K traded · $11.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

21%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 22% on Oct 20, 21% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	21%		20¢	22¢	$4.55	$22.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky

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Zelensky Adviser Slams Musk Over Claims Ukraine Violated Starlink TermsNewsweek · 21 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 09:20 AM EDT A top Ukrainian official has hit back at claims from SpaceX chief Elon Musk that Kyiv's military used the commercial Starlink satellite network for offensive drone strikes against Russian forces. Ukraine said…
Putin’s War on Abortion Meets His War in UkraineNewsweek · 61 min agoOct 27, 2026 at 08:58 AM EDT President Vladimir Putin is desperate for Russian women to have more babies. Though abortion remains legal nationally, Russian authorities have waged war against it, banning "child-free" advocacy, pressuring…
Zelensky Reveals Massive Russian Barrage Amid Musk’s Starshield RestrictionNewsweek · 40 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 02:19 PM EDT Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia had launched thousands of attacks this past week before Elon Musk’s SpaceX restored its Starlink and Starshield satellite internet service in the country…
Russia, Ukraine begin Oleshky ceasefire but keep up strikes elsewhereNew York Post · 6 h agoRussia and Ukraine have begun a regional ceasefire to allow the start of a humanitarian effort in the Russian-occupied town of Oleshky, both sides said on Tuesday, ‌but they continue strikes elsewhere, including the Ukrainian capital of…
How Trump’s Hero Winston Churchill Would Handle Putin and UkraineNewsweek · 43 h agoOct 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT When Donald Trump wanted to cut Keir Starmer down to size in March, he reached for his hero. "This is not Winston Churchill," the president said in the Oval Office, after Britain initially refused to let U.S…
Ceasefire negotiated by Melania Trump holds in Russia-occupied Ukrainian cityFox News · 2 h agoMarc Beckman, a senior advisor to Melania Trump, joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss first lady Melania Trump's humanitarian efforts in Ukraine. Beckman details how the first lady successfully brokered a ceasefire in Oleshky, allowing…
Map shows Ukraine's battlefield advances threatening key Russian supply linesNewsweek · 18 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 12:54 PM EDT Ukrainian forces are making slow battlefield gains that might threaten Russia's ability to supply its troops, it has been reported, as a map shows the state of part of the front line. One Ukrainian military…
Russia says it will open humanitarian corridor to Ukrainian townNPR · 30 h agoRussia says it will open a humanitarian corridor to the occupied Ukrainian town of Oleshky, where people have been eating weeds and pickles to survive while trapped by minefields, shelling and drones. Russia says it will open humanitarian…
Local Russia-Ukraine truce brokered by Melania Trump takes effect amid strikesCNBC · 4 h agoA local Russia-Ukraine ceasefire brokered by Melania Trump has taken effect in the Russian-occupied town of Oleshky, even as overnight strikes continued elsewhere, including Kyiv. Local Russia-Ukraine truce brokered by Melania Trump takes…
Melania Trump-brokered local ceasefire begins as Russia continues attacks on UkraineCNBC · 4 h agoAs a ceasefire brokered by First Lady Melania Trump took effect in a city in southern Ukraine, Russia continued pounding Ukraine's cities overnight. The local ceasefire, due to last until Saturday in Russia-occupied Oleshky near the…
Melania Trump-brokered one-city ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine takes effectCNN · 10 h agoA localized ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine in the occupied city of Oleshky that First Lady Melania Trump helped to broker has now gone into effect, officials on both sides said Tuesday. Dmytro Lubinets, Ukraine’s parliament…
Killer Russian missile strike as Putin targets university and Zelensky pleads for NATO helpDaily Mirror · 4 h agoRussia launched waves of missiles and drones at Kyiv overnight, hitting a university campus, killing one person and leaving at least 15 more injured. It means Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine has killed at least four…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$22.6K

This week$3.1K

At stake$11.5K

In the news580 headlines today, 5,000 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions