Texas Senate winner? (2026)
66%James Talarico
- James Talarico66%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton35%▼ 1
Install
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
The odds
51%Mississippi
- Mississippi51%▼ 2
- Minnesota49%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Mississippi: 56% on Oct 20, 51% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 26, 9 PM ETMississippi: 48% → 53%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETMississippi: 48% → 53%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi | 51% | ▼ 2 | 36¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | $2.6K |
| Minnesota | 49% | ▲ 2 | 34¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | $2.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Closer Senate, Minnesota, Mississippi
Search ›-
Why Democrats see a path to victory in Mississippi midterm electionCNN National Political Writer Fredreka Schouten joins Fredricka Whitfield to break down why Democrat Scott Colom is hopeful that he can unseat incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith. Despite Donald Trump winning the state by 23… - A Black Democrat has a chance to win in Mississippi’s Senate raceBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Scott Colom has a shot…
-
Minnesota's unhoused got a chance to hit the pollsCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 Your Stories From Your Community Reporters CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Catholic Charities helps Minnesota's unhoused vote ahead of midtermsOctober 24, 2026 / 6:49 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota More than 400,000 Minnesotans have already voted in this midterm election, according to the Secretary of State's office, a big increase from 2022, when around 280,000 were reported during that… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in DuluthSen. Bernie Sanders joins Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Attorney General Keith Ellison at a Duluth, Minnesota, get-out-the-vote campaign rally. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in Duluth Sen. Bernie Sanders joins… -
Democrats Aim for Deep-Red Mississippi Senate SeatABC News: “Why are major Democrats and Republicans flocking to Mississippi in recent weeks?” “In a climate where polls show President Donald Trump’s approval ratings cratering, Democrats are unusually optimistic about Scott Colom’s chances… -
Scott Colom enters Mississippi Senate race against Cindy Hyde-SmithEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Bulwark on Sunday: South Carolina? Florida? Mississippi?! Democrats Test the Limits of a Blue WaveA recording from The Bulwark's live video Bulwark on Sunday: South Carolina? Florida? Mississippi?! Democrats Test the Limits of a Blue Wave A recording from The Bulwark’s live video Could Democrats really flip Senate seats in deep-red… -
Trump to rally for Hyde-Smith in Mississippi as Senate race tightensWASHINGTON (Gray DC) - President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a campaign rally in Mississippi on Monday to support Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-Miss.) as the midterm elections approach. The president is set to rally at Crossroads Arena in… -
How Is This Legal? Pollster Boosting Dem in Mississippi Admits It Fabricated Most Election SurveysA polling organization admitted to fabricating most of its polling Wednesday after suggesting that Democratic Mississippi Senate nominee Scott Colom was only four points behind his Republican opponent. Wedgewood Polls said in a statement… -
Trump coming to Mississippi ahead of Election Day to rally support for Hyde-Smith, GOP fieldThe President’s return to the Magnolia State to promote the Republican field comes after the Democrat nominee for U.S. Senate has hosted a bevy of national progressive leaders in Mississippi ahead of the November 3 General Election… -
Can Scott Colom Win in Mississippi’s Senate Race?Washington Post: “The formula for Colom to win is deceptively simple: He needs a huge turnout from Black voters and about a quarter of the White vote. Doesn’t sound that hard, yet no Democrat has solved the problem in Mississippi in more…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%▲ 1
- Republican Party36%
Texas Senate Election Winner
67%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)67%▲ 2
- Ken Paxton (R)33%▼ 3
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%
- D-House, R-Senate28%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%▼ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
South Carolina Senate winner? (2026)
77%Darline Graham
- Darline Graham77%▼ 3
- Annie Andrews24%▲ 3
Michigan Senate winner? (2026)
69%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed69%▲ 2
- Mike Rogers32%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions