Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
54%Anthropic
- Anthropic54%▲ 1
- Google34%▼ 2
- OpenAI6%
12 more
- Meta2%
- xAI1%
- Alibaba1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Microsoft<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Amazon<1%
- Baidu<1%
Install
What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
The odds
56%↓ $45
Traders see as low as $38.50.
- Reaches $5516%
- Reaches $6014%
- Reaches $705%
- Falls to $4556%
- Falls to $4056%
- Falls to $3018%
How the odds have moved
Falls to $30: 14% on Oct 20, 18% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $55 | 16% | ▲ 1 | 12¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $4.9K |
| ↑ $60 | 14% | ▼ 2 | 11¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $4K |
| ↑ $70 | 5% | ▼ 4 | 1¢ | 9¢ | $11.76 | $884 |
| ↓ $30 | 18% | ▲ 3 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $3.9K |
| ↓ $40 | 56% | ▼ 1 | 55¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | $4.4K |
| ↓ $45 | 56% | ▼ 1 | 52¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | $9.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Claude Fable
Search ›-
Local Qwen3.8-27B vs Claude Fable 5: It Ties at Coding, but Costs 78%, Not 9%Qwen3.8-27B, an open-weight model served locally with vLLM, scored 92.4% pass@1 on the 100 most recent hard LiveCodeBench problems. Claude Fable 5, called once, scored 90.4%. Nobody fine-tuned anything. The GVS5H repo gets there by… -
Claude Fable 5.1 solves the Cyphral Distich, then hacks a chess evalSir Thomas Urquhart was a Scottish Royalist and the author of some very odd books. At the end of his Logopandecteision (London, 1653) he printed two lines of 32 numbers each. This is the first line as printed: The distich was posed as an… -
Claude AI accessed publicly available Georgia voter data, Anthropic confirmsAnthropic's Claude AI model accessed publicly available voter data through Georgia's data hub, state officials and the company confirmed to FOX Business on Sunday. The Georgia Secretary of State's office stressed that the bot did not… -
Claude Fable 5.1 Review: The Benchmarks Went Up, but the Cache Price Cut Is the Real ReleaseWhen Anthropic shipped Claude Fable 5 in June, I wrote that the price doubling was the headline, not the benchmarks. Ten dollars per million input tokens and fifty per million output is twice Opus 5, and I said at the time that the… -
Anthropic debuts Claude Duet personal AI agent. Here's what to know.October 23, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News Anthropic has joined the race to develop AI agents that work autonomously on behalf of humans with Claude Duet, a new app it previewed this week. The agent competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's… -
Claude on AWS Bedrock vs Anthropic API: Cost ComparedI am the founder of PromptUnit. This post first appeared on the PromptUnit blog, where it is kept up to date. Anthropic's pricing documentation is explicit that AWS Bedrock and Google Cloud use the same per-token rates as the direct Claude… -
Claude Duet app is Anthropic's bet on agentsBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. The AI world is flooded with personal and productivity-based assistants, with new ones launching every week. Now, Anthropic is entering this battle in the hopes of gaining… -
Anthropic Merges Claude Chat and Cowork for Enterprise UsersAnthropic says it has unified Claude chat and Cowork for its enterprise customers. The new offering combines chat and Cowork on web, desktop and mobile, meaning users don’t have to choose between the two services before starting, Anthropic… -
What is Claude Duet? Anthropic's newly announced 'proactive AI agent'Claude Duet is an AI agent that does not just answer questions, but proactively understands a user's work and carries out requested tasks in the background. On October 21, 2026, Anthropic announced a research preview of 'Claude Duet'. It… -
I turned a Claude Code session into a local Anthropic-compatible APII wanted tools like LiteLLM and Hermes Agent to talk to my Claude Code session as if it were a normal... Tagged with ai, opensource, llm, claude. I wanted tools like LiteLLM and Hermes Agent to talk to my Claude Code session as if it were… -
Anthropic Sued for Training Claude on Elvis Presley SongsPer the filing, Anthropic used such songs as “Can’t Help Falling in Love” and “Run On” to train Claude. “Claude continues to infringe: when recently asked to recreate specific songs ‘for a modern ... Things you buy through our links may…
Related markets
All ai ›Which company has the best AI model end of October?
88%Google
- Google88%▲ 2
- Anthropic9%▼ 1
- Meta<1%
18 more
- OpenAI<1%▼ 1
- Alibaba<1%
- Moonshot<1%
- Baidu<1%
- Z.ai<1%
- Xiaomi<1%
- SpaceXAI<1%
- DeepSeek<1%
- Amazon<1%
- ByteDance<1%
- Nvidia<1%
- Thinky<1%
- MiniMax<1%
- Mistral<1%
- Meituan<1%
- Tencent<1%
- StepFun<1%
- Microsoft<1%
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
Nov 24, 2026even chance by
- October 3117%▼ 2
- November 1536%▼ 1
- November 3061%▲ 5
2 more
- December 1575%▼ 2
- December 3180%▼ 7
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Dec 13, 2027even chance by
- December 31, 202613%▼ 1
- December 31, 202752%▲ 1
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.25Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.25T.
- Reaches $1.5T96%
- Reaches $1.75T84%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
70%No release by October 31
- No release by October 3170%▲ 8
- October 2715%▼ 1
- October 286%▼ 1
11 more
- October 295%
- October 301%▼ 1
- October 201%▼ 12
- October 311%▲ 1
- October 19<1%▼ 2
- October 21<1%▼ 5
- October 22<1%▼ 14
- October 23<1%▼ 4
- October 24<1%
- October 25<1%▼ 1
- October 26<1%▼ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 6 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions