Predictions › Elections › Around the world NDP >99% ▲ 6 CentreBC <1% Conservative <1% ▼ 7 Greens <1% OneBC <1%
NDP: 82% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: British Columbia General Search › No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Student List – Students Win >99% ▲ 73 Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia <1% ▼ 74 Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! <1% 7 more Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) <1% Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor <1% Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification <1% Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić <1% Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović <1% European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš <1% SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak <1% Lula da Silva <4% 99% ▲ 83 Lula da Silva 4-8% <1% Flávio Bolsonaro <4% <1% ▼ 38 5 more Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ <1% ▼ 1 Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% <1% ▼ 5 Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% <1% ▼ 36 Lula da Silva 8-12% <1% Lula da Silva 12%+ <1% Yashar 70% ▼ 1 Likud 29% ▲ 2 Together <1% ▼ 1 3 more Shas <1% The Democrats <1% Otzma Yehudit <1% Ilija Srdanović 26% ▲ 16 Vladan Đokić <1% ▼ 1 Aleksandar Vučić <1% ▼ 69 7 more Ivica Dačić <1% Ana Brnabić <1% Stefan Krkobabić <1% Miloš Vučević <1% Đuro Macut <1% Branimir Jovanović <1% Dragan Đilas <1% Iotova <10% 98% ▲ 78 Iotova 30-40% <1% ▼ 1 Iotova 40%+ <1% ▼ 1 6 more Gyurov 20-30% <1% ▼ 1 Iotova 10-20% <1% ▼ 58 Gyurov <10% <1% ▼ 1 Gyurov 30%+ <1% ▼ 1 Iotova 20-30% <1% ▼ 18 Gyurov 10-20% <1% Marine Le Pen 43% ▼ 3 Édouard Philippe 16% ▼ 2 David Lisnard 14% 42 more Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11% ▼ 1 Raphaël Glucksmann 5% ▲ 1 François Hollande 3% ▲ 1 Bruno Retailleau 1% Éric Zemmour 1% Gabriel Attal 1% Dominique de Villepin 1% Sarah Knafo 1% Jordan Bardella 1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% Christine Lagarde <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Natacha Polony <1% François Ruffin <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Jean Castex <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% François Baroin <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Measured Oct 24, 2026 7:59 PM ET
Trading closes Oct 26, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Traded $30.8K
Today $7.1K
This week $17.6K
At stake $3.8K
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules General elections to elect the 93 members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia are scheduled to take place on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If pa
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions
