South Dakota Senate winner? (2028)
94%Republican party
- Republican party94%
- Democratic party6%
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South Dakota Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
92%Mike Rounds
- Mike Rounds92%
- Brian Bengs8%▲ 1
- Julian Beaudion<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rounds | 92% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 124.0K | |
| Brian Bengs | 8% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 187.4K |
| Julian Beaudion | <1% | 0¢ | 38.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Dakota Senate, Mike Rounds, Brian Bengs
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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- James Talarico (D)62%▼ 1
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%
- Republican Party38%
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
57%Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
- Oil ≥ $85; D Senate57%▼ 2
- Oil ≥ $85; R Senate31%
- Oil < $85; D Senate6%▲ 2
1 more
- Oil < $85; R Senate3%▲ 2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.