2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
63%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep63%▲ 2
- D-House, R-Senate27%▼ 1
- Republicans sweep10%▼ 1
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
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Ohio Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
54%Republican party
- Republican party54%
- Democratic party46%
How the odds have moved
Republican party: 54% on Oct 20, 54% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 54% | 52¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 8.4K | |
| Democratic party | 46% | 44¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 21.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ohio Senate
Search ›- GOP-linked PAC spends over $1M to boost third-party socialist in Ohio Senate race - Live Updates - POLITICOThe move is an apparent attempt to hurt Democrat Sherrod Brown, who’s locked in a tight battle with GOP Sen. Jon Husted in the Senate battleground. A GOP-aligned super PAC has more than tripled its investment in the Ohio Senate race over…
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Polls: Jon Husted Edges Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate RaceRepublican Sen. Jon Husted leads Democrat Sherrod Brown by less than a point in Ohio’s 2026 U.S. Senate race, according to polls. The survey, published by ActiVote, put the appointed incumbent at 50.2 percent to the former senator’s 49.8… - Ohio Senate - District 27Steve Demetriou and Mike Roberto are running for the Ohio Senate in District 27 on the Nov. 3, 2026 ballot. Ohio state senators make state laws, approve the state budget and represent their local communities. They serve four-year terms…
- Ohio Senate - District 23Robert Dintaman and Bride Rose Sweeney are running for the Ohio Senate in District 23 on the Nov. 3, 2026 ballot. Ohio state senators make state laws, approve the state budget and represent their local communities. They serve four-year…
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Husted Narrowly Ahead in Ohio Senate RaceActiVote’s October 18, 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate poll finds that Republican Jon Husted leads Democrat Sherrod Brown by 0.4%. The poll was in the field between September 26 and October 18 (median field date of October 7). The poll was among 400… -
Newly released poll shows Democrats maintaining edge in Ohio Senate, gubernatorial racesNew polling suggests that Democrats are leading in the Ohio Senate and gubernatorial races, continuing a wider polling trend that has seen the party ahead in both races over the past month. According to the poll, which was conducted by… -
Plummer, Harris outline priorities in Ohio Senate District 5 raceRepublican Phil Plummer and Democrat Jeffrey Harris, candidates for Ohio Senate District 5. Republican Phil Plummer and Democrat Jeffrey Harris are emphasizing property tax relief, education and economic opportunity in their campaigns for… -
Crypto PACs Surge to $52 Million in Battle Against Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate RaceFifty-two million dollars. That’s what crypto-aligned political action committees have poured into the Ohio Senate race to stop Sherrod Brown from winning another term. The spending is led by affiliates of Fairshake PAC, which draws heavy… - A trader just placed a $32K bet against Republicans winning the Ohio Senate race in 2026Quiver Quantitative A trader just placed a $32K bet against Republicans winning the Ohio Senate race in 2026 A trader on Friday, October 16 at 9:29 AM ET bought $32,179 of No shares on Polymarket’s Ohio Senate Election Winner page, a bet…
- Ohio Senate Election 2026: Sherrod Brown vs. Jon HustedMLB Picks Tampa Bay Rays Cleveland Guardians College Football Picks Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers NFL Picks Politics News With less than three weeks left to the Democrat vs. Republican Senate Race in Ohio, the election betting odds…
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Winklevoss-Backed PAC Adds $3 Million to Ohio Senate Ad SpendingThe Digital Freedom Fund, established by Gemini co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, separately reported more than $5.9 million in expenditures supporting Husted and opposing Brown, including approximately $3 million in additional… -
Crypto PACs Boost Spend Targeting Sherrod Brown in Ohio Senate RaceCrypto-backed political spending is intensifying as the 2026 midterm elections approach, with new Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings showing that affiliates linked to the Fairshake political action committee (PAC) have boosted their…
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62%James Talarico
- James Talarico62%
- Ken Paxton39%
Texas Senate Election Winner
62%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)62%
- Ken Paxton (R)38%▲ 1
Maine Senate winner? (2026)
63%Troy Jackson
- Troy Jackson63%▲ 3
- Susan Collins38%▼ 3
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
63%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party63%
- Republican Party38%▼ 1
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
60%Oil ≥ $85; D Senate
- Oil ≥ $85; D Senate60%▲ 1
- Oil ≥ $85; R Senate32%
- Oil < $85; D Senate4%▼ 1
1 more
- Oil < $85; R Senate2%▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.