Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
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Indiana Senate winner? (2028)
The odds
87%Republican party
- Republican party87%
- Democratic party13%
How the odds have moved
Republican party: 92% on Oct 20, 87% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 87% | 85¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 2.5K | |
| Democratic party | 13% | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 125 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Indiana Senate
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Democrats seek gains in Republican-controlled Indiana SenateOnly a handful of races are truly competitive in this year’s Indiana Senate elections, with most of the money flowing to a northwest Indiana district and a suburban Indianapolis contest. Democrats are hoping to flip Senate District 1 and… -
Big bucks boost candidates in Indiana Senate race in Lake CountyJames "Jay" Starkey is the Republican Party nominee in Indiana Senate District 6. Hundreds of thousands of dollars are pouring into Lake County to support the Republican and Democratic candidates competing at the Nov. 3 general election… -
Senator Ron Alting resigns from Indiana Senate, remains on District 22 ballotLAFAYETTE, Ind. (WLFI) - State Sen. Ron Alting announced Tuesday he is resigning from the Indiana Senate after nearly three decades in office. In a statement posted to Facebook, Alting, R-Lafayette, said he has undergone extensive medical… -
Alting resigns from Indiana Senate: 'I am deeply sorry'LAFAYETTE — Indiana Sen. Ron Alting has announced he is resigning his position amid allegations of several Walmart shoplifting incidents in Lafayette, Monticello and Florida. A Japanese store and arcade with cyberpunk vibes is coming to… -
The Five - Tuesday, October 20Fox News The Five - Tuesday, October 20 Midterms, Elon Musk, Indiana Senate, Viral Tiktok, Friend Freeloader A rotating panel of personalities discuss and debate the hot issues from politics to pop culture. -
Trump endorsee announces resignation after allegedly stealing from Walmart — but there's more to the story, he saysA longtime Republican Indiana state senator who landed on President Donald Trump's good side in the congressional redistricting fight has announced his resignation.In a Facebook post on Wednesday, state Sen. Ron Alting wrote: "I have… -
Senator facing theft investigation says he will resign if reelected, citing ‘changes in my judgment’By Niki Kelly | Indiana Capital Chronicle Weeks after allegations of shoplifting broke, Republican state Sen. Ron Alting announced he will resign his Senate seat after 28 years if voters reelect him. “Over the past several weeks, I have… -
Indiana State Sen. Ron Alting Announces ResignationState Sen. Ron Alting said he went through extensive medical evaluation for changes in his judgment, behavior, and cognitive functioning. LAFAYETTE, Ind. — Republican State Senator Ron Alting announced his resignation from the Indiana… -
Indiana Sen. Ron Alting announces resignation amid shoplifting allegationsTIPPECANOE COUNTY, ind. -- Indiana Sen. Ron Alting announced his resignation from the via his official Facebook page Wednesday. The Republican senator has served eastern Tippecanoe County and Carroll County for nearly 30 years. Alting… -
Sen. Ron Alting announces retirement plans after 28 yearsIndiana State Senator Ron Alting has announced plans to retire after 28 years representing the Greater Lafayette area. His announcement comes amid reported shoplifting allegations involving Walmart stores. Although Alting intends to step… -
Alting will resign from state senate amid shoplifting allegationsINDIANAPOLIS — Longtime state Sen. Ron Alting on Wednesday announced he will resign his seat if re-elected, citing neurological problems following accusations of shoplifting. Alting, a Republican, was first elected in 1998 and currently… -
Elkhart Approves $126.6 Million Budget for 2027 After City Council CutsElkhart, Ind. (WOWO) — Elkhart city leaders have approved a $126.6 million budget for 2027, setting aside money for police vehicles, park improvements and additional firefighters while cutting hundreds of thousands of dollars in proposed…
Related markets
All senate ›Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (2026)
64%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party64%▼ 3
- Republican Party37%▲ 2
Texas Senate Election Winner
63%James Talarico (D)
- James Talarico (D)63%▼ 1
- Ken Paxton (R)37%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
72%Abdul El-Sayed (D)
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)72%▲ 1
- Mike Rogers (R)28%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
65%Democrats sweep
- Democrats sweep65%▼ 2
- D-House, R-Senate26%▲ 2
- Republicans sweep9%
1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Maine Senate Election Winner
64%Troy Jackson (D)
- Troy Jackson (D)64%▼ 2
- Susan Collins (R)36%▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.