Idaho Senate winner? (2028)
88%Republican party
- Republican party88%
- Democratic party12%▲ 1
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Idaho Senate winner? (2026)
The odds
95%Jim Risch
- Jim Risch95%▼ 1
- Todd Achilles5%
- David Roth<1%
How the odds have moved
Jim Risch: 94% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Risch | 95% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 419.9K |
| Todd Achilles | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 429.7K | |
| David Roth | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | 68.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Idaho Senate, Jim Risch, Todd Achilles
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What’s up with the Idaho Senate race?IDAHO - It’s a trend that’s taken on new life the election cycle, independent candidates running against establishment backed big names. Orion Donovan Smith, who's from Washington and writes for the The Spokesman-Review via the Report for… -
Idaho senate candidates lay out prioritiesOct. 22—Idaho Sen. Jim Risch is seeking a fourth six-year term as issues surrounding affordability and persistent international conflict have risen to the fore alongside candidates looking to upend the state's decades-long streak of… -
Idaho Republican Sen. Jim Risch Leads Fake Independent by Nearly 30 PointsIdaho Republican Sen. Jim Risch leads his nearest competitor in the state’s U.S. Senate race by 27 points, according to an internal poll shared with Breitbart News. The polling memo states, “With just over two weeks to go until the midterm… - Jim Risch Pressed Russia Deal Warning After Pavel’s Ceasefire ClaimJim Risch is tied to a fresh warning from Petr Pavel, who said Donald Trump’s diesel deal with Russia gave Moscow “time to breathe” and made a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire harder to reach. Pavel said the ceasefire had been “quite close” before…
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Democrat Ron Taylor seeks another term in Idaho Senate District 26People attended the District 26 Democrats: Affordability Town Hall event Tuesday to hear from three candidates about their campaigns and solutions in Jerome. Candidate Kevin Marsh, running for Idaho House Seat A, left, listens during an… -
Text blast claims DSA support for Jim Risch; local chapter denies endorsementBOISE, Idaho — Did you receive a text claiming that the DSA (Democratic Socialist of America) endorsed Idaho Republican Senator Jim Risch in his election campaign? You're not alone. It appears that the message was sent to registered… -
Senate candidates lay out priorities with affordability a shared concernIdaho’s three-term Republican U.S. Senator Jim Risch, center, is facing two Independent candidates for this year’s race in Todd Achilles, left, and Natalie Fleming, right. Also running is Libertarian candidate Matt Loesby (not pictured)… -
Idaho 2026 Election Guide: Key Dates, Voting Information and ResultsIDAHO — The November 2026 election is approaching, and KMVT’s voter guide includes information voters need before heading to the polls. This guide incorporates reporting and election information from sister station Idaho News 6. On… -
Actually, the Acton Ad Isn’t a New LowThere is no floor to what the modern Republican party will turn into a political attack. On Oct. 19, Ohio gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign released an ad featuring the mother of his opponent, Dr. Amy Acton, challenging… - Where are the debates? Idaho incumbents largely forgo debates and forums this yearOct. 23—During the 2026 election cycle, Idaho voters have had very few opportunities to see Republican incumbents answer questions at live, public events. For years it was the norm for major candidates in statewide and federal races to…
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Idaho fourth grader wins contest to help light U.S. Capitol Christmas treeSALMON, Idaho - A fourth-grade student from Salmon, Idaho, will represent the state in Washington, D.C., this December after winning a statewide essay contest to help light the Christmas tree at the U.S. Capitol. Grace Benson was selected… -
Complaints prompt McGrane to remind political advertisers to follow campaign finance rulesBOISE, Idaho (IdahoEdNews) — With two weeks until Election Day, Idaho Secretary of State Phil McGrane is reminding candidates, PACs and individuals to properly disclose any money spent to influence elections, according to a Tuesday press…
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- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.