Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Wyoming Senate election: James Byrd vote percent
The odds
30.25%median
22%40%
Median 30.25%Middle half 27.56% – 33%
How the odds have moved
Median: 29.63% on Oct 20, 30.25% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 24% | 96% | 91¢ | $1.05 | |||
| At least 26% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 28% | 72% | 67¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | ||
| At least 30% | 53% | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | ||
| At least 32% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 34% | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 200 | |
| At least 36% | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | ||
| At least 38% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Wyoming Senate, James Byrd
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Can 2 former Democratic state lawmakers take Wyoming’s bipartisan message to Washington?James Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in the Wyoming Legislature and working alongside Republicans. Now, the two former Democratic lawmakers are hoping to bring that experience to the federal level: Byrd is running for the… -
Matthew Shepard should be turning 50 years old this year. We must never stop sharing his story.I was devastated when some of my students hadn’t heard of Matthew Shepard. But with the attacks on LGBTQ+ learning today, who could blame them? Matthew Shepard was brutally murdered for being gay. He died on October 12, 1998, at the age of… -
Democratic candidates tout their bipartisanship at Powell eventDemocratic candidate for U.S. Senate James Byrd talks during a candidate forum hosted by the League of Women Voters of Wyoming at Casper College on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. POWELL — James Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in… -
Democratic candidates tout their bipartisanshipJames Byrd and Lisa Kinney each spent a decade serving in the Wyoming Legislature and working alongside Republicans. Now, the two former Democratic lawmakers are hoping to bring that experience to the federal level: Byrd is running for the… -
Fact Sheet: Ohio Senate Race – 2026 Midterm Elections | GLAADFormer and present U.S. Senate candidates up for reelection in Ohio in the 2026 Midterms: (D) Former U.S. Senator (2007-2025) —Voted for the 2022 Respect for Marriage Act which ensures protections for same-sex and interracial couples under… -
U.S. House candidates talk priorities; superintendent finalists debate role of AI, recalibrationFrom left, Democratic U.S. House of Representative candidate Lisa Kinney, Constitution Party candidate Jeff Haggit and Libertarian candidate Shawn Johnson participate in the Wyoming PBS U.S. House of Representative debate Thursday night at… -
Letter To The Editor: I'm A Lifelong Republican And I Support Kinney And ByrdDear editor: When I vote on November 3 as a lifelong Republican, veteran, and retiree I am voting for Democrats James Byrd for the Senate, and Lisa Kinney for the House. These two are traditional Wyoming Democrats like former Governor Dave… -
No Kings rally brings out dozens to push for early votingDemocratic U.S. Senate candidate James Byrd, left, talks legislative candidate Brittany Tennant and other demonstrators at the state Capitol on Saturday. Demonstrators were participating in the fourth national No Kings rally in opposition… -
Patrick Witt Leaves White House Crypto Council for Private SectorHome > Regulation > Patrick Witt Leaves White House Crypto Council for Private Sector Serving in this administration has been the privilege of a lifetime. From helping to stand up the most successful presidential transition in history… - Voter's Guide - US Senator - 2026 General ElectionDemocratic Candidate: James Byrd My platform focuses on concrete, mechanism-driven policies that protect our state's bottom line: - Fiscal Fairness & Property Tax Relief: Washington currently forces unfunded administrative mandates onto…
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Byrd: Congress key to protecting Wyoming, fixing U.S. governmentDemocratic candidate for U.S. Senate James Byrd, left, has objected to a decision by Wyoming PBS to cancel a planned debate due to lack of response from his opponent, current U.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman, R-Wyo. WORLAND — Democratic U.S…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions