Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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West Virginia Senate election: Shelley Moore Capito vote percent
The odds
66.48%median
60%78%
Median 66.48%Middle half 64.38% – 68.79%
How the odds have moved
Median: 67.21% on Oct 19, 66.48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 62% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 64% | 80% | 77¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | ||
| At least 66% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 68% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 70% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 72% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 76% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: West Virginia Senate, Shelley Moore Capito
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SCHIP Survivors Try To Avoid Budget AxeNovember 5, 2007 / 9:15 PM EST / The Politico The insurance industry used money and muscle over the summer to save its Medicare Advantage senior health care program from a $54 billion spending cut. House Democrats wanted the money to… -
'This is how you blow up a permitting deal': Sen. Whitehouse slams Trump over offshore windThe Justice Department on Tuesday night asked a federal court to reopen a fourth permit for an offshore wind project. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) speaking at a news conference last month to announce a Senate permitting bill. He is… -
President Trump urges West Virginians to vote early, endorses Capito, Miller, and MooreDonald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Charleston in May 2016. WEST VIRGINIA (LOOTPRESS) – President Donald Trump took to social media Thursday evening, October 22, encouraging West Virginia residents to participate in early voting and… -
Joseph Wyatt: Any regrets among WV congressional bloc? (Opinion)Word on the street is that a number of Republican incumbents are calling around to see if friends have a moving truck. An exception is Gov. Patrick Morrisey who isn't up for reelection. If he were, he might be making those calls, too… -
Pentagon Clears Wind Farms in Permitting Reform PushThe Trump administration is lifting a blockade that had stalled some wind farms in a bid to boost support for a bipartisan plan to speed construction of US energy and infrastructure projects. Marking the shift, the Pentagon on Thursday… -
Capito Secures Funding for Marshall University Medical SchoolSenator Capito (.gov) Capito Secures Funding for Marshall University Medical School CHARLESTON, W.Va. – U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito (R-W.Va.), chairman of the Senate Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies… - Trump Administration Lifts Wind Farm Blockade to Boost Bipartisan Permitting BillThe step is being presented as a gesture of good faith and a partial fulfillment of an administration commitment to move some wind projects forward. That pledge is viewed as important to advancing a bipartisan permitting overhaul bill on…
- NextEra Lobbying Reaches $3 Million Amid Dominion Merger ReviewNextEra Energy Inc. reported $3 million in federal lobbying expenditures across 17 registrants in the third quarter, up $421,000 from the same quarter last year. Its in-house disclosure identifies electricity transmission, generation and…
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Early voting begins today in the Eastern PanhandlePending an agreement between South Berkeley Volunteer Fire Company and Berkeley County, this fire hall may be the county's newest early voting site. MARTINSBURG - Early voting for the Nov. 3 general election begins today in the Eastern… -
Key races for West VirginiaHUNTINGTON, W.Va . (WSAZ) - This year, voters in West Virginia will choose who will represent them in the U.S. Senate and participate in several other region-wide races. U.S. Senate Race – West Virginia Rachel Fetty Anderson – Democrat… -
Sen. Oliverio, Del. Williams, and Taylor Richmond highlight education, data center development in 13th District State Senate debateMORGANTOWN, W.Va. — The two major party candidates and the Libertarian Party nominee for the 13th District West Virginia Senate seat have made their pitch ahead of the 2026 General Election on November 3. Incumbent 13th District Senator… -
$11.934 million grant awarded to WVU Rockefeller Neuroscience InstituteCHARLESTON, W.Va. (WTAP) - U.S. Sen. Shelley Moore Capito announced Wednesday an $11.934 million congressional directed spending (CDS) grant for West Virginia University’s Rockefeller Neuroscience Institute. The award, secured through a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions