Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
Virginia Senate election: Mark Warner vote percent
The odds
61.75%median
50%68%
Median 61.75%Middle half 59.53% – 63.91%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.13% on Oct 19, 61.75% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 54% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 56% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 58% | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 60% | 71% | 66¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 400 | |
| At least 62% | 47% | 42¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 400 | |
| At least 64% | 24% | 19¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 228 | |
| At least 66% | 9% | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia Senate, Mark Warner
Search ›-
DOJ Charges Virginia Senate Leader, Louise LucasThe Trump administration has charged one of the most powerful Democratic lawmakers in Virginia with racketeering and money laundering conspiracy in connection to a cannabis business she co-owns with family members. Six other people were… -
WAVY talks with Democrat Sen. Mark WarnerBy Erin Banco and Joey Roulette WASHINGTON, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Well before the throttling this month of Ukraine's military access to Elon Musk's satellite communications system, the Biden and Trump Tyler Robinson is accused of fatally… -
Retired Maj. General Bert Mizusawa, challenging Sen. Mark Warner, says both parties to blame for deficitRICHMOND, Va. — With early voting underway and Election Day on Tuesday, November 3, less than two weeks away, it's time to meet the candidates. Each of the major candidates in Virginia's US Senate race and the three Congressional races in… -
Senator Mark Warner speaks out on high cost of livingCROZET, Va. (WVIR) - Senator Mark Warner has been speaking to Virginians around the state, and they say cost of living is too high. Warner pointed to a congressional report that found Virginia families were paying $39,000 more for goods… -
Top intel Democrats say they've "war-gamed" how to react if Trump alleges foreign interference in midtermsOctober 23, 2026 / 5:26 PM EDT / CBS News The top Democrats on the House and Senate intelligence committees say they are preparing for the possibility that President Trump makes claims of foreign interference to challenge next month's… -
What’s On The Farmville Ballot This Midterm Season?This election season is midterms; get to the polls! f you want more information on how to vote, read Dakota Wolley’s “A College Girl’s Guide to Survive: Your Vote, Your Voice”. In the Senate, Virginians will be voting for either Mark… -
Corruption is voters' top issue ahead of midterm election, CNBC survey showsVoters are now more concerned about government corruption than any other issue, including high grocery and gas prices, according to the final CNBC All-America Economic Survey before the Nov. 3 midterm election. The finding follows a… -
Sen. Warner’s Daughter Dies at 36 After Battle With Juvenile Diabetes, Other Health IssuesSen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) on April 20 announced that his 36-year-old daughter had died after a lengthy illness. “We are heartbroken beyond words by the passing of our beloved daughter, Madison, 36, after a decades-long battle with juvenile… -
Russian disinformation campaign targets pro-Ukraine candidates ahead of midterms, lawmakers sayHelp us keep bringing the truth to light, even when Russia turns the lights out. Senator Mark Warner and Representative Jim Himes, two Democrats, told reporters that a recent intelligence briefing revealed Russian efforts to undermine U.S… -
Pope & Schapiro: The implications of the Lucas indictmentThe indictment against Virginia Senate President Louise Lucas was the biggest story this week in state government and politics. Michael Pope and Radio IQ Politics Analyst Jeff Schapiro discuss the implications and more from the week that… -
Virginia election officials take steps to address interference concernsVirginia state and local election officials are taking preventative measures to safeguard Nov. 3 polling places and election results amid concern over the possibility the Trump administration or the president’s allies could interfere in… -
Steven Roberts: Cheater-in-chiefAt the “Trumpapalooza” convention in Dallas last month, the president urged his followers to “cheat like hell” in this fall’s election, now just two weeks away. The man who insists — with no evidence of any kind — that the 2020 election…
Related markets
All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18.13%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
36%56%
Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.94% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions