Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
26.85%median
14%34%
Median 26.85%Middle half 23.46% – 29.15%
Install
Virginia Senate election: Bert Mizusawa vote percent
The odds
38.18%median
34%50%
Median 38.18%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 36% | 65% | ▼ 1 | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | |
| At least 38% | 52% | ▲ 5 | 41¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 200 |
| At least 40% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| At least 42% | 16% | ▲ 1 | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | |
| At least 44% | 7% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 46% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | ||
| At least 48% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Virginia Senate, Bert Mizusawa
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
16.6%median
8%28%
Median 16.6%Middle half 14.18% – 19.6%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.52%median
36%56%
Median 47.52%Middle half 44.15% – 49.9%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
8.57%median
0%16%
Median 8.57%Middle half 6.11% – 11.35%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.61%median
7%40%
Median 13.61%Middle half 11.42% – 17.68%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.77%median
30%65%
Median 45.77%Middle half 42.95% – 49.17%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.