Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent
The odds
60.45%median
48%72%
Median 60.45%Middle half 58.1% – 62.86%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.25% on Oct 20, 60.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 52% | 96% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 54% | 95% | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 56% | 90% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 1.4K |
| At least 58% | 76% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 200 |
| At least 60% | 55% | ▼ 1 | 50¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | |
| At least 62% | 33% | ▼ 1 | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 410 |
| At least 64% | 14% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 5.00 |
| At least 66% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee Senate, Bill Hagerty
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Pete Hegseth Reportedly Eyeing Tennessee Senate Seat as Impeachment Fears MountPete Hegseth eyes his next move as lawmakers move to impeach him as Defense Secretary. Oct. 26 2026, Published 12:09 p.m. ET Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is reportedly angling for an appointment to a Tennessee Senate seat to secure a… -
GENIUS Act Clears Senate, Setting the Stage for Stablecoin OversightThe US Senate has passed the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act in a 68 to 30 vote on June 17. The landmark bill sets the first federal regulations for dollar-pegged stablecoins in America and has… -
Pete Hegseth’s Reported Political Backup Plan Emerges Amid Impeachment Push — ReportPete Hegseth may be considering a political move as pressure grows over his tenure in the Trump administration. The defense secretary is reportedly interested in a possible Tennessee Senate appointment if Sen. Marsha Blackburn becomes… - John Shearer: Random Thoughts About Courthouse Event, Landmarks And Long John Silver’sAre you watching all the negative political ads on television that in some cases almost have an entertainment value to them, at least the ones not totally in poor taste? Candidate A’s campaign makes candidate B sound like the worst and…
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Tennessee Responds to Dolly Parton Sister’s Election ‘Rigging’ PostOct 21, 2026 at 07:26 PM EDT Stella Parton, the sister of country music icon Dolly Parton, shared on social media that she had trouble casting her ballot during early voting in Tennessee, adding to reports from voters who say they… -
Candidates give case for Tenn. Senate District 31 seatThe race for Tennessee Senate District 31 features incumbent Republican Brent Taylor and Democratic challenger David Weatherspoon presenting contrasting backgrounds and platforms. MEMPHIS, Tenn. (WMC) - The race for Tennessee Senate… -
US State Department Memorial Event Honors US Citizens Murdered on Oct. 7The Jewish Link US State Department Memorial Event Honors US Citizens Murdered on Oct. 7 In the weeks surrounding the third anniversary of the Oct. 7, 2023 attacks on Israel, Jewish communities across our area and across the U.S. held… -
Tennessee early voter turnout 61% higher than 2022(The Center Square) – Tennessee's early voter turnout is 61.3% higher than in the 2022 midterm elections, according to numbers from the secretary of state's office. More than 577,000 have voted through Wednesday, compared to nearly 358,000… -
Williamson, Inc. is driving the conversation with transportation issues at Policy TalksSPRING HILL — On Monday, Oct. 19, the Spring Hill Board of Mayor and Aldermen unanimously passed Resolution 26-302, to proceed with plans for an interlocal wastewater agreement with the City of Columbia. MURFREESBORO – For the first time… - Two polls, two different pictures of Tennessee governor's raceJohnson City Press NASHVILLE â Two polls released Tuesday are showing vastly different results in who Tennesseans support for Tennessee's next governor The first, conducted by Republican-heavy pollster Spry Strategies, shows U.S…
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Early voting continues through October 29 at Election Commission officeCOCKE COUNTY — Early voting for the November General Election continues through Oct. 29th. All early voting in the county will take place at the Election Commission office at 157 Western Plaza. The hours for early voting on weekdays from 9… -
Sen. Janice Bowling Pushes Back Against Possible Removal From Republican CaucusState Sen. Janice Bowling of Tullahoma is pushing back against discussions about removing her from the Tennessee Senate Republican Caucus after she endorsed an independent candidate for governor. Bowling, who represents Coffee County and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions