Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
26.85%median
14%34%
Median 26.85%Middle half 23.46% – 29.15%
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South Carolina Senate election: Darline Graham vote percent
The odds
51.08%median
44%64%
Median 51.08%Middle half 49.64% – 53.06%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 48% | 89% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 281 |
| At least 50% | 72% | ▲ 5 | 61¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 210 |
| At least 51% | 51% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | |
| At least 52% | 39% | ▼ 9 | 38¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 91.00 |
| At least 54% | 13% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | 20.00 |
| At least 56% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 26.00 |
| At least 58% | 5% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.00 |
| At least 60% | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 400 | |
| At least 62% | 3% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | $16.67 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Carolina Senate, Darline Graham
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.