Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Oregon Senate election: Jeff Merkley vote percent
The odds
60.33%median
54%72%
Median 60.33%Middle half 57.67% – 62.88%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.33% on Oct 24, 60.33% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 58% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 60% | 54% | 49¢ | 58¢ | $1.72 | ||
| At least 62% | 33% | 28¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | ||
| At least 64% | 16% | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | ||
| At least 66% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| At least 68% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 70% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Oregon Senate, Jeff Merkley
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3 candidates, 3 visions: What to know about Oregon's U.S. Senate raceFrom left: Chris Henry, U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley and Oregon state Sen. David Brock Smith. U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Oregon, is running for another term in Congress in 2026. Oregon state Sen. David Brock Smith, R-Port Orford, is running… -
Torqued at AIPAC Spending, Sanders Throws $1M to El-SayedSayed, who would be the nation's first Muslim senator, withstand the AIPAC onslaught. The Vermont independent, who has already steered $250,000 to a Michigan victory fund for El-Sayed, called the ... Torqued at AIPAC Spending, Sanders… -
EndorsementsJeff Merkley, Democrat, Working Families v. David Brock Smith, Republican; Gary Lyndon Dye, Libertarian; Chris Henry, Progressive, Pacific Green Rep. Val Hoyle, Democrat, Working Families v. Monique DeSpain, Republican, Libertarian; Justin… - Governor of Oregon : Senate Bill 243 Signing Remarks : Speeches : State of OregonAn official website of the State of Oregon Learn How you know » (how to identify a Oregon.gov website) An official website of the State of Oregon » 900 Court Street, Suite 254 Salem, OR 97301-4047 A .gov website belongs to an official…
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Van Hollen Demands Answers From Zuckerberg Over No Kings AccountsMaryland Senator Chris Van Hollen demanded answers Thursday from Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg after the company suspended the No Kings Coalition’s official Instagram account during the group’s nationwide day of action. In a letter shared… - Slant — Still at it• The Cottage Grove Sentinel, established in 1889, announced it will cease publication Oct. 28, due to lack of advertising revenue. It’s the third small rural Lane County paper to shutter this year. Another sobering reminder of the…
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Where do Gearhart’s packages go — ‘I never know’Published 5:56 pm Tuesday, October 20, 2026 By Fox Perez/The Astorian The mailing issues that The Astorian has been covering for the past month in Clatsop County have not gone away. In fact, more are coming to light. What at first seemed… -
Actor, activist Jane Fonda makes appearances, endorsements in OregonActor and progressive activist Jane Fonda made appearances in Salem and Portland last week to support Oregon Democratic candidates ahead of the Nov. 3 election. Fonda, 88, a two-time Oscar winner known for her roles in the TV show "Grace… -
Jackson Co. State Senate race being watched statewideWatch the Oregon Gubernatorial Debates hosted by KOBI-TV and KTVZ, and view other elections coverage. MEDFORD, Ore.– As ballots begin arriving in mailboxes for the November 3rd general election, only one Rogue Valley race is being watched… - Oregon Senate District 6 candidates' views on data centers, Eugene airportThree candidates are vying for Oregon Senate District 6 seat, which represents eastern Lane County, most of Linn County and southern Marion County. Farmer and business owner Jack Tibbetts, dietician and lifelong Sweet Home resident Sierrah…
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Election 2026: Gresham, Sandy, Estacada guide to the November votePublished 11:00 am Monday, October 19, 2026 If you live in Multnomah County, you can visit the Gresham Voting Center Express, inside the Multnomah County East Building at 600 N.E. Eighth St. There, you can replace a lost ballot, get help… -
Election 2026: East Oregonian’s guide to the November electionPublished 9:00 pm Monday, October 19, 2026 With the November midterm elections rapidly approaching, voters in Eastern Oregon are thinking about more than just national politics. Umatilla County voters have a choice between an an incumbent…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions