Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Oregon Senate election: David Brock Smith vote percent
The odds
35.4%median
28%46%
Median 35.4%Middle half 32.81% – 37.85%
How the odds have moved
Median: 35.73% on Oct 19, 35.4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 94% | 89¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 32% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 34% | 64% | ▼ 1 | 60¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 100 |
| At least 36% | 44% | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 405 | |
| At least 38% | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 40% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 42% | 4% | 8¢ | $12.50 | |||
| At least 44% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: David Brock Smith, Oregon Senate
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3 candidates, 3 visions: What to know about Oregon's U.S. Senate raceFrom left: Chris Henry, U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley and Oregon state Sen. David Brock Smith. U.S. Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Oregon, is running for another term in Congress in 2026. Oregon state Sen. David Brock Smith, R-Port Orford, is running… -
EndorsementsJeff Merkley, Democrat, Working Families v. David Brock Smith, Republican; Gary Lyndon Dye, Libertarian; Chris Henry, Progressive, Pacific Green Rep. Val Hoyle, Democrat, Working Families v. Monique DeSpain, Republican, Libertarian; Justin… - Slant — Still at it• The Cottage Grove Sentinel, established in 1889, announced it will cease publication Oct. 28, due to lack of advertising revenue. It’s the third small rural Lane County paper to shutter this year. Another sobering reminder of the…
- Governor of Oregon : Senate Bill 243 Signing Remarks : Speeches : State of OregonAn official website of the State of Oregon Learn How you know » (how to identify a Oregon.gov website) An official website of the State of Oregon » 900 Court Street, Suite 254 Salem, OR 97301-4047 A .gov website belongs to an official…
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Boice and Cecil outline priorities in Oregon House District 1 raceRepublican Rep. Court Boice and Democratic challenger Bret Cecil are emphasizing education, healthcare and public safety in their race for Oregon House District 1. The district includes all of Curry County and parts of Coos and Douglas… -
Election 2026: East Oregonian’s guide to the November electionPublished 9:00 pm Monday, October 19, 2026 With the November midterm elections rapidly approaching, voters in Eastern Oregon are thinking about more than just national politics. Umatilla County voters have a choice between an an incumbent… -
Election 2026: Gresham, Sandy, Estacada guide to the November votePublished 11:00 am Monday, October 19, 2026 If you live in Multnomah County, you can visit the Gresham Voting Center Express, inside the Multnomah County East Building at 600 N.E. Eighth St. There, you can replace a lost ballot, get help… -
Jackson Co. State Senate race being watched statewideWatch the Oregon Gubernatorial Debates hosted by KOBI-TV and KTVZ, and view other elections coverage. MEDFORD, Ore.– As ballots begin arriving in mailboxes for the November 3rd general election, only one Rogue Valley race is being watched… - Oregon Senate District 6 candidates' views on data centers, Eugene airportThree candidates are vying for Oregon Senate District 6 seat, which represents eastern Lane County, most of Linn County and southern Marion County. Farmer and business owner Jack Tibbetts, dietician and lifelong Sweet Home resident Sierrah…
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Will Oregon Voters Elect the Same Democrat Cheaters Again?Will Oregon’s downward trajectory continue? Will Oregon’s single-party, Democrat machine win this Midterm? Will we be up Deception Creek without a paddle? Supposedly, people are looking for solutions: But how will the the current Democrat… -
Actor, activist Jane Fonda makes appearances, endorsements in OregonActor and progressive activist Jane Fonda made appearances in Salem and Portland last week to support Oregon Democratic candidates ahead of the Nov. 3 election. Fonda, 88, a two-time Oscar winner known for her roles in the TV show "Grace… -
What Does It Mean to Be a Republican in Josephine County?I don’t know that any of my Republican friends would have sat down and called those things “Republican values.” They were simply values they lived. And lately I have found myself wondering: Are these still the qualities we expect from…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions