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Oklahoma Senate election: N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.9% on Oct 19, 36.49% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 30% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 32% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 34% | 74% | ▲ 1 | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | |
| At least 36% | 55% | ▲ 1 | 51¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 39.00 |
| At least 38% | 35% | ▲ 1 | 30¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 5.00 |
| At least 40% | 19% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | |
| At least 42% | 8% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| At least 44% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, Oklahoma Senate
Search ›- Self-described socialist N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas wins Oklahoma Democratic Senate primaryIn August, N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas, a 31-year-old Oklahoma nurse with no prior political office, won the Democratic nomination for the US Senate seat vacated by Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin, defeating lawyer Jim Priest with…
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What would State Question 845 change about Oklahoma’s court system?About 60 years ago, a bribery scandal sent one Oklahoma Supreme Court Justice to prison, another resigned and a third was impeached and removed from office. Voters wanted to get politics and nepotism out of the courts, so they created the… -
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions