Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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New Hampshire Senate election: Chris Pappas vote percent
The odds
52.19%median
44%64%
Median 52.19%Middle half 50.13% – 54.18%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.8% on Oct 19, 52.19% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 48% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 50% | 77% | ▼ 4 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 158 |
| At least 52% | 53% | ▼ 2 | 48¢ | 57¢ | $1.75 | 1.1K |
| At least 54% | 27% | ▼ 1 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 18.00 |
| At least 56% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 58% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.00 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New Hampshire Senate, Chris Pappas
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WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris joins Chris Pappas for campaign rally in Portsmouth, NHFormer Vice President Kamala Harris campaigns alongside Democratic Senate nominee Chris Pappas at a rally in Portsmouth, New Hampshire. WATCH LIVE: Kamala Harris joins Chris Pappas for campaign rally in Portsmouth, NH Former Vice President… -
Fmr. VP Kamala Harris Rallies with NH Candidates Stefany Shaheen, Chris Pappas and Cinde WarmingtonDemocratic candidates Stefany Shaheen, Chris Pappas, Vice President Kamala Harris and candidate Cinde Warmington are pictured at a calling center in Manchester on Saturday. Fmr. Vice President Kamala Harris visits a phone bank with… - New Hampshire could make Chris Pappas first openly gay man in SenateRep. Chris Pappas, D-New Hampshire, is living a life that he didn't think was possible growing up in the 1990s. A four-term member of Congress, he is now his home state's Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate. If he wins, he will become the…
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Pappas Eyes History In Tight New Hampshire Senate FightChris Pappas is on track to put New Hampshire at the center of a possible Senate milestone. If elected, the Democratic nominee would become the first openly gay man to serve in the chamber. For Pappas, though, that distinction is not the… -
The Sununu Dynasty Faces Biggest Test in New Hampshire Senate RaceOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Oct 21, 2026 at 07:04 AM EDT New Hampshire’s Senate race will test the power of the Sununu name as former Senator John Sununu hopes to boost Republicans in midterm elections that will likely prove complicated… -
NYT Spotlights Chris Pappas: Greek-American Could Make History in U.S. Senate RaceIn an October 22 profile published in The New York Times, reporter Jess Bidgood examined the 46-year-old Democrat’s approach to a potentially groundbreaking election, highlighting his political career, his family’s longstanding ties to New… -
Kamala Harris says Democrats have ‘been pissed’ for the last year and a halfFox News correspondent CB Cotton reports on former Vice President Kamala Harris’ comments while campaigning for New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Chris Pappas on ‘Fox Report.’ ... Kamala Harris says Democrats have ‘been pissed’… -
Kamala Harris jokes about cursing out the TV in rage at Trump after her loss: ‘We’ve been depressed and angry’LACONIA, New Hampshire — Some might call that a TV hit. Former Vice President Kamala Harris raged against President Trump, joking about shouting at the TV and “throwing things” in frustration with the country’s leadership during a brief… -
Midterms unleash what may be the nastiest barrage of attack ads yetFox News correspondent CB Cotton reports on former Vice President Kamala Harris’ comments while campaigning for New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Chris Pappas on ‘Fox Report.’ It’s last-minute garbage time as the midterms are… -
John Sununu is running on his family’s legacy in New Hampshire. His brother is staying on the sidelinesThe campaign signs across New Hampshire read “Sununu” in block letters. They’re for Republican Senate nominee John E. Sununu, who held the seat from 2003 to 2009 and is running to replace retiring Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. But they… -
Sununu Adds Biz Endorsements, Hits ‘California Chris’ Pappas on TaxesTwo more business organizations endorsed U.S. Senate candidate John Sununu over Rep. Chris Pappas on Tuesday, and the New Hampshire Republican said the reason why can be seen in how the two candidates spend their weekends. “He’s… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions