Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Nebraska Senate election: Dan Osborn vote percent
The odds
46.76%median
36%63%
Median 46.76%Middle half 44.63% – 49%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.78% on Oct 19, 46.76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 39% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 54.00 | |
| At least 42% | 93% | 89¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 363 | |
| At least 45% | 73% | 68¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 280 | |
| At least 47% | 47% | 42¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 4.00 | |
| At least 48% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 101 | |
| At least 51% | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 235 | |
| At least 54% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 534 | |
| At least 57% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 542 | |
| At least 60% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nebraska Senate, Dan Osborn
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Nebraska Senate race: Independent Dan Osborn backed by Democrats, NRSC claimsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Rep. Don Bacon blasts Dan Osborn over ‘anti-Jewish’ adBacon, a moderate Nebraska Republican: ‘I reject the anti-Jewish and anti-Israel messaging. [Nebraska] is better than this’ Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) talks with reporters in the Capitol Visitor Center on Wednesday, June 24, 2026. Rep. Don… -
Dan Osborn’s Unfrozen Caveman Politician ActJohn McCormack is a senior editor at The Dispatch and is based in Washington, D.C. Prior to joining the company in 2023, he was Washington correspondent at National Review and a senior writer at The Weekly Standard. He is also a visiting… -
JD Vance's North Platte visit: Dan Osborn bashing, fertilizer and woman fainting incidentVice President JD Vance held a midterm rally in North Platte on Thursday morning, endorsing Nebraska GOP candidates ahead of the elections and announcing a major investment tied to fertilizer manufacturing in the state. “Well, ladies and… -
Who is Dan Osborn? Meet the Nebraska independent who could decide which party controls the Senateشبكة تواصل الإخبارية Who is Dan Osborn? Osborn grew up in Omaha, Neb., as the son of a railroad worker and a seamstress. When he was 16, his parents moved to Washington state after his father suffered a workplace accident that forced him… -
Ro Khanna to Campaign in Nebraska with Dan OsbornPolitical Wire “Dan Osborn, an independent who has vowed not to caucus with Republicans or Democrats if elected to serve as Nebraska’s next senator, will hit the campaign trail Saturday with progressive Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna,” CBS News… - U.S. Senate Candidate Dan Osborn (I-NE) Hosts Town Hall in Lincoln, NEIndependent Nebraska U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn speaks with voters at a town hall in Lincoln, NE. U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn (I-NE) meets with voters in Red Cloud, Nebraska. U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn (I-NE) accepts an…
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Trump ramps up criticism of Fox News over Dan Osborn interviewThe remarks followed Trump's earlier criticism of the network the same day, in which he complained that the network was "promoting the Dumocrats" over an interview the network held with Democratic Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed… -
Democratic senator torches GOP failure to rein in Trump and MuskDem senator torches GOP FAILURE to rein in Trump and Musk MS NOW Democratic senator torches GOP failure to rein in Trump and Musk Youth voting leader rips Trump’s failed promises: Voters ‘were used’ Trump’s coziness with Putin criticized… -
Youth voting leader rips Trump’s failed promises: Voters ‘were used’Donald Trump’s 2024 coalition appears to be disintegrating as he retreats to solid red districts in the critical final days before the midterms. Santiago Mayer, Executive Director of Voters of Tomorrow, joins The Weeknight to break it… -
Crypto megadonors up Ohio spending to $55 million to crush Sherrod Brown - Live Updates - POLITICOBrown is in a close Senate race with GOP Sen. Jon Husted, who has voted in favor of crypto-friendly legislation. A super PAC funded by the cryptocurrency industry is dumping an additional $9 million into an effort to block Sherrod Brown… -
JD Vance Nebraska Rally Interrupted by Medical Incident Behind VP on StageOct 22, 2026 at 01:08 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 03:41 PM EDT Vice President JD Vance led an audience in Nebraska in prayer Thursday after a woman behind him suffered a medical emergency during his rally speech. The woman appeared to pass out…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions