Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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North Carolina Senate election: Michael Whatley vote percent
The odds
41.53%median
38%56%
Median 41.53%
How the odds have moved
Median: 43.26% on Oct 19, 41.53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 70% | ▼ 8 | 65¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | |
| At least 42% | 44% | ▼ 9 | 43¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 220 |
| At least 43% | 29% | ▼ 9 | 27¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 45.00 |
| At least 44% | 20% | ▼ 7 | 18¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 452 |
| At least 45% | 12% | ▼ 3 | 10¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | |
| At least 46% | 6% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 190 |
| At least 48% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 1.00 | |
| At least 50% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| At least 52% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | |||
| At least 54% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Carolina Senate, Michael Whatley
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North Carolina Senate race: Roy Cooper leads Trump ally Michael Whatley as Democrats eye key seatWith Republicans defending their 53-47 Senate majority, North Carolina has emerged as a key battleground as former governor Roy Cooper seeks to unseat the Republican hold on the state’s open Senate seat As the United States heads towards… -
Georgia & North Carolina Senate Races 2026: Polls & OddsFollow the Georgia and North Carolina Senate races: candidates, polls, fundraising, race ratings, Kalshi odds, and what each contest means for Senate control. Two Southern states that supported Republican President Donald Trump in 2024… -
North Carolina Senate District 4 Race Pits Incumbent Buck Newton Against Challenger Jess RiveraHome » North Carolina Senate District 4 Race Pits Incumbent Buck Newton Against Challenger Jess Rivera The race for North Carolina Senate District 4 is shaping up as a contest between Republican incumbent Buck Newton’s years of legislative… -
U.S Senate Race in North Carolina: Roy Cooper, Michael Whatley battle to replace Senator TillisDemocrat Roy Cooper and Republican Michael Whatley are offering North Carolina voters different sets of priorities as they compete for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Cooper’s campaign is emphasizing plans to lower costs for families… -
WATCH LIVE: Trump rallies in North Carolina for Michael WhatleyWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Elon poll shows Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley by 13 points in North Carolina Senate raceFormer North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper is leading Republican Michael Whatley by 13 percentage points in the U.S. Senate race, according to the final Elon University Poll before Election Day. Among likely voters surveyed Sept. 29 through… -
Michael Whatley campaigns in Charlotte ahead of Election DayU.S. Senate candidate Michael Whatley urged voters to head to the polls, sharing the top issues he's hearing across North Carolina's 100 counties. West Midlands Police said the man was pronounced dead at the scene with others requiring… -
Trump campaigns in North Carolina as Michael Whatley falls behind in pollsLIVE: Closing arguments presented in Faith Hedgepeth murder trial The DTH extends Community Advisory Board application deadline to Oct. 28 President Donald Trump returned to North Carolina Tuesday ahead of the state’s Senate race, where… -
Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Democrats Brown, Cooper Ahead In Ohio, North Carolina Senate Races (Updated Daily)Former North Carolina Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper is leading former Republican National Committee Chair Michael Whatley by double digits in the North Carolina Senate contest, while former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown has a narrow lead over… -
Trump campaigns in North Carolina, boosting GOP Senate nominee Michael WhatleyPresident Donald Trump was in North Carolina Tuesday, speaking at a rally with Republican candidates in Greenville. Air Force One did a flyover above the crowd gathered at the Pitt-Greenville Airport before it landed just before 7 p.m… -
Trump rallies North Carolina Republicans in Greenville, backs Michael Whatley and blasts Roy Cooper ahead of midtermsPublished Oct. 21, 2026, 2:46 p.m. ET | Updated Oct. 21, 2026 GREENVILLE, N.C. — President Donald Trump delivered a nearly two-hour speech Tuesday night at Pitt-Greenville Airport, rallying North Carolina Republicans two weeks before the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions