Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Michigan Senate election: Abdul El-Sayed vote percent
The odds
49.45%median
42%60%
Median 49.45%Middle half 47.53% – 51.59%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.69% on Oct 20, 49.45% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 857 | |
| At least 46% | 92% | ▼ 1 | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 1.2K |
| At least 48% | 70% | ▼ 3 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 1.8K |
| At least 50% | 43% | ▼ 6 | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | 1.1K |
| At least 52% | 21% | ▼ 3 | 16¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 748 |
| At least 54% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 396 |
| At least 56% | 6% | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 185 | |
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate, Abdul El-Sayed
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WATCH LIVE: Abdul El-Sayed faces reporters as Michigan Senate race heats upThe Democratic Senate nominee addresses reporters after recent intensified political attacks and renewed scrutiny over his alleged ties to the Muslim Brotherhood. WATCH LIVE: Abdul El-Sayed faces reporters as Michigan Senate race heats up… -
Trump intensifies anti-Muslim rhetoric against Abdul El-Sayed at Michigan rally – US politics liveThe US president was condemned for remarks that questioned the senate candidate’s loyalty to the country What are the US midterm elections and why do they matter? Donald Trump intensified his anti-Muslim rhetoric against Michigan Senate… -
Mike Rogers on Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a terrorist: ‘I've never called him a terrorist’In an exclusive interview with Meet the Press, Michigan Senate candidate and former Rep. Mike Rogers (R) responds to President Trump calling Abdul El-Sayed a “jihadist” and “violent terrorist.” Kornacki: Where Democrats see openings for… -
Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan rallyDemocratic Senate nominee in Michigan Abdul El-Sayed tells reporters on eve of president's rally that Trump will praise tariffs, Iran war and 'big ugly bill' during Michigan visit. Abdul El-Sayed takes swipe at Trump ahead of Michigan… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail with Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganDemocratic Senate candidate El-Sayed delivers remarks to supporters at a campaign rally alongside Bernie Sanders in Grand Rapids, Michigan, just days ahead of the critical midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail… -
LIVE NOW: Michigan Senate Candidate Abdul El-Sayed Holds Press Conference in DetroitDemocratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed holds a “Detroit For Abdul” press conference at 12 p.m. ET on Oct. 26 in Detroit, Michigan. LIVE NOW: Michigan Senate Candidate Abdul El-Sayed Holds Press Conference in Detroit -
On the campaign trail in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed rides a wave of support for Medicare for AllDays before the midterms, as Americans prepare for historic cuts led by Republicans, the US Senate candidate catches a rising tide of interest in single-payer healthcare Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic US Senate candidate, starts this day… -
Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visitFox News Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed blasts Trump ahead of president's battleground state visit Michigan Democrat Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed tells Fox News Digital that former President Barack Obama reminds voters of a president… -
Trump intensifies anti-Muslim attacks on Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-SayedWith the Nov. 3 midterm elections just over a week away, political leaders are intensifying their campaigns to secure victories for their parties. President Donald Trump, who is not on the ballot, has also stepped up his campaign… -
Trump calls Michigan Senate candidate El-Sayed a ‘jihadist’President Donald Trump speaks at a rally in Port Huron, Michigan, about Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, his family’s alleged support for terrorist organizations and Trump’s characterization of El-Sayed as a ‘jihadist.’ Trump… -
Donald Trump Brings 9/11 Into Michigan Senate Race With Attack on Abdul El-SayedPresident Donald Trump used a Sunday rally in Port Huron to link the Michigan Senate race to the September 11 attacks. He leveled unsubstantiated accusations against Democrat Abdul El-Sayed while boosting Republican nominee Mike Rogers… -
WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in DetroitFormer President Barack Obama joins Democratic candidates Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson at a campaign rally in Detroit. WATCH LIVE: Barack Obama rallies with Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson in Detroit Former President Barack Obama…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions