Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Massachusetts Senate election: Ed Markey vote percent
The odds
63.9%median
54%76%
Median 63.9%Middle half 61.38% – 66.27%
How the odds have moved
Median: 62.81% on Oct 19, 63.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 56% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 58% | 95% | ▲ 5 | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 60% | 86% | ▲ 10 | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 400 |
| At least 62% | 70% | ▲ 14 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 600 |
| At least 64% | 49% | ▲ 15 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 10.00 |
| At least 66% | 27% | ▲ 11 | 22¢ | 32¢ | $3.13 | 10.00 |
| At least 68% | 12% | ▲ 6 | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 60.00 |
| At least 70% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | $12.50 | 5.00 | |
| At least 72% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 74% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Massachusetts Senate, Ed Markey
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Democratic senator accused of 'political malpractice' after job ad ignites firestorm over DEI languageFox News contributor Mary Katharine Ham discusses Sen. Ed Markey's, D-Mass., internship posting encouraging 'underrepresented candidates' to apply and argues its DEI-focused language comes close to violating hiring laws on 'The Will Cain… -
Mass. scientist, arrested in China, must be brought home | Sen. Ed Markey & Rep. Stephen LynchThe news highlights the legislative aspect of the work that elected officials do for the people they represent on the federal level, but the work of constituent services is often as impactful. We help to navigate the federal bureaucracy… -
Massachusetts Senate Passes Bill Requiring Insurance Coverage of Cancer Screenings for FirefightersOn Thursday, Oct. 15, the Massachusetts Senate approved legislation requiring no-cost cancer screenings for eligible full-time firefighters. According to a WBUR report, the Senate approved S 3284, advancing it after… According to a WBUR… -
Bernie Sanders takes aim at billionaire NBA owners over surging ticket pricesSanders, Vt.-I, claimed the "billionaire class" has spent roughly $50 million to defeat progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed, asking supporters why wealthy donors are "afraid" of his campaign during a speech Saturday in Detroit. The NBA… - Dem lawmaker Bernie Sanders takes aim at billionaire NBA owners over surging ticket pricesSanders, Vt.-I, claimed the "billionaire class" has spent roughly $50 million to defeat progressive candidate Abdul El-Sayed, asking supporters why wealthy donors are "afraid" of his campaign during a speech Saturday in Detroit. The NBA…
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Gov. Maura Healey Holds 25-Percentage Point Lead Over Republican Challenger Mike Minogue in Latest UMass Amherst/WCVB PollWith Election Day two weeks away, incumbent Democratic Governor Maura Healey holds a 25-percentage point lead in her re-election race over Republican challenger Mike Minogue, according to a new statewide University of Massachusetts… -
Encore Boston workers mark over 50 days on strikeEncore workers picketed past their 50th day on strike Saturday, joined by union members from across the country and a crowd of supporters outside the resort and casino in Everett. Over 1,300 workers at Encore Boston Harbor with the unions… -
Leftie Massachusetts Senator Puts Out Call for Interns — but It's Clear Who Needs Not ApplyAfter what we’ve seen historically, it takes a brave soul indeed to apply for a job as an intern to a Democrat politician. Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) is putting out the call anyway, and although he doesn’t come right out and say it, it sure… -
Senate hopeful sues his hometown Belmont paper for not writing about himBack on the ballot and running for U.S. Senate, perennial candidate Shiva Ayyadurai has taken an unorthodox approach to seeking campaign coverage in the run-up to Election Day: Suing his hometown newspaper. The Belmont resident filed a… -
Battenfeld: Far left, MassGOP unlikely allies in battle against Question 3Far left leaders Michelle Wu, Ayanna Pressley and the weak MassGOP are unlikely allies this year in a bid to reject the all-party primary system ballot question — facing off against former Govs. Charlie Baker and Deval Patrick. Question 3… -
Essex Republican Micah Q. Jones courts unenrolled voters in 6th District raceArmy veteran, lawyer and former Democrat pitches himself as a check on an all-Democratic delegation Micah Q. Jones knows a large share of the 6th Congressional District will not vote for him no matter what he says. He puts it at 35 percent… -
Mass. midterm election 2026: Everything you need to knowAs the United States heads into November midterm elections, here’s everything Massachusetts voters will need to know to cast their ballots. Check out all of GBH News’ coverage for more information as Election Day approaches. And read up on…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions