Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent
The odds
48.6%median
42%64%
Median 48.6%Middle half 46.64% – 50.51%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.44% on Oct 19, 48.6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 46% | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | ||
| At least 48% | 59% | 55¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | 114 | |
| At least 49% | 44% | 40¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | 817 | |
| At least 50% | 30% | 26¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 11.00 | |
| At least 52% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 60% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 188 | ||
| At least 62% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Senate, Roger Marshall
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Vice President JD Vance rallies for Roger Marshall in Topeka as Kansas Senate race enters final stretchVice President JD Vance rallied for Sen. Roger Marshall in Topeka, criticizing Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton and announcing new USDA funding for Kansas. The ceasefire is meant to allow aid deliveries and the evacuation of civilians… -
Kansas Senate Race Remains TightA new Red Box Research poll in Kansas finds Roger Marshall (R) leading Adam Hamilton (D) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 45%. Kansas Senate Race Roger Marshall (R) 46% Adam Hamilton (D) 45% Red Box Research poll · likely voters · ±3.2% The… -
The Church Abuse Allegations Shaking Kansas Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 12:43 PM EDT Allegations that the Democratic candidate failed to effectively investigate alleged sexual assaults targeting children more than 20 years ago have become a focal point in the closing weeks of the Kansas Senate… -
Kansas Senate race tightens as Marshall’s billing practices face scrutinyEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
Kansas' US Senate election between Sen. Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton carries national ramificationsThe battle for the U.S. Senate seat in Kansas has major implications for the balance of power in the Senate, and, for the first time in nearly 100 years, polls say the race is unexpectedly competitive. Incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall is… -
Tony Perkins Asks God To Dispatch The Holy Spirit To Help Reelect Sen. Roger MarshallFamily Research Council president Tony Perkins prays over Sen. Roger Marshall, asking God to dispatch "the Holy Spirit to go before him and give him favor with the citizens of Kansas." Tony Perkins Asks God To Dispatch The Holy Spirit To… -
The Oppo Mastermind Who Could Take Down Roger MarshallCould Tyson Brody’s research in Kansas get a Democrat elected for the first time in 94 years? Republican Sen. Roger Marshall, right, and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate Adam Hamilton participate in a debate at WDAF TV in Kansas City… -
Vice President JD Vance renews call for Kansas GOP voters to back US Sen. Roger MarshallShowdown between Republican Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton coming down to wire TOPEKA — Vice President JD Vance returned to the state Monday for a second time since mid-September to rally voters on behalf of Republican Roger Marshall… -
Voters sound off before Kansas Senate debate between Roger Marshall and Adam HamiltonThe Kansas Senate race is becoming increasingly competitive between incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton. They will go head-to-head on the debate stage Wednesday. CBS News reporter Katrina Kaufman… -
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton face off in fiery final Kansas Senate debateRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton went head to head in a contentious debate Wednesday night as polls show a toss-up in ruby-red Kansas with less than two weeks until Election Day. Marshall and Hamilton traded… -
Kansas Senate candidates debate trans athletes issue, answer how many genders there areFox News Kansas Senate candidates debate trans athletes issue, answer how many genders there are Kansas Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton answered questions on transgender athletes in women's sports… -
Watch: "Just the News, No Noise" with Sen. Roger Marshall and John McLaughlinTonight's featured guest will be Mississippi GOP Sen. Roger Marshall. Also appearing will be pollster John McLaughlin, New York GOP Rep. Claudia Tenney, pollster Scott Rasmussen, and Kalshi's David Piegaro. The show runs weekdays at 6 p.m…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions