Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percent
The odds
47.38%median
36%54%
Median 47.38%Middle half 45.46% – 49.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.24% on Oct 19, 47.38% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.02 | |||
| At least 40% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | |||
| At least 42% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 92¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 44% | 89% | ▲ 1 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 138 |
| At least 46% | 70% | ▲ 1 | 66¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 1.1K |
| At least 48% | 41% | 37¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 175 | |
| At least 50% | 17% | 12¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 50.00 | |
| At least 52% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | 260 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kansas Senate, Adam Hamilton
Search ›-
The Church Abuse Allegations Shaking Kansas Senate RaceOct 23, 2026 at 12:43 PM EDT Allegations that the Democratic candidate failed to effectively investigate alleged sexual assaults targeting children more than 20 years ago have become a focal point in the closing weeks of the Kansas Senate… -
Voters sound off before Kansas Senate debate between Roger Marshall and Adam HamiltonThe Kansas Senate race is becoming increasingly competitive between incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton. They will go head-to-head on the debate stage Wednesday. CBS News reporter Katrina Kaufman… -
Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton face off in fiery final Kansas Senate debateRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton went head to head in a contentious debate Wednesday night as polls show a toss-up in ruby-red Kansas with less than two weeks until Election Day. Marshall and Hamilton traded… -
Kansas Senate candidates debate trans athletes issue, answer how many genders there areFox News Kansas Senate candidates debate trans athletes issue, answer how many genders there are Kansas Republican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton answered questions on transgender athletes in women's sports… -
Kansas Senate rivals distance themselves from party leaders in fiery debateAffordability concerns dominate the Kansas Senate race as Democratic candidate Adam Hamilton releases a video welcoming President Donald Trump to the state. Fox Business contributor Lou Basenese analyzes whether an economic pitch can win… -
Kansas Dem Adam Hamilton’s Megachurch Pushes Gender-Neutral Language for Kids Ministry ‘Inspired’ By LGBTQ+ ActivistThe Church of the Resurrection, led by Kansas Democrat U.S. Senate nominee Adam Hamilton, encouraged the use of gender-neutral terms instead of references to boys and girls to make children “feel welcome,” according to a message provided… -
As Kansas Senate race tightens, Marshall argues opponent is just another Democrat, while Hamilton says he's "independent-minded"October 22, 2026 / 12:05 AM EDT / CBS News The candidates in Kansas' surprisingly competitive Senate race faced off in a debate Wednesday evening, as Republicans fight to head off the possibility of their first loss in a Kansas Senate… - Kansas Senate Debate Stuns Voters as Republican Roger Marshall Breaks With Donald Trump and Democrat Adam Hamilton Denounces Joe BidenThe final Kansas Senate debate delivered an astonishing political spectacle when incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall broke ranks with Donald Trump on trade and immigration, while Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton labelled former…
-
Marshall, Hamilton clash in heated Kansas Senate debateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Marshall, Hamilton… -
Kansas Senate debate: Sen. Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton debate Iran war, gas pricesRepublican Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton debated in Kansas City, discussing the Iran war, fuel prices, and campaign attack ads as Election Day approaches. The debate, less tense than their first encounter at the… -
Trump pushback, Biden 'disaster' and gender surprise: 5 key moments from Kansas Senate debateNate Foy reports from Park City, Kansas, where President Donald Trump campaigns for Sen. Roger Marshall in a crucial bid to retain Republican control. The hour-long showdown came less than two weeks before Election Day as Marshall seeks a… -
Fights over loyalty to America, party and Trump dominate Michigan and Kansas Senate debatesMichigan and Kansas held some of the final major Senate debates of the 2026 midterm elections on Wednesday night. And they were a study in contrasts. The Michigan Senate debate between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike…
Related markets
All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.83%median
8%28%
Median 15.83%Middle half 14.1% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.48%median
36%56%
Median 44.48%Middle half 41.43% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.72%median
0%16%
Median 10.72%Middle half 8.36% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.9% – 17.55%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 42.33% – 48.36%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions