Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.64%median
14%34%
Median 28.64%Middle half 26.29% – 31.03%
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Illinois Senate election: Don Tracy vote percent
The odds
38.67%median
30%48%
Median 38.67%Middle half 35.54% – 41.73%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.04% on Oct 20, 38.67% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 34% | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | ||
| At least 36% | 72% | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | ||
| At least 38% | 56% | 51¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | ||
| At least 40% | 38% | 33¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| At least 42% | 23% | 18¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | ||
| At least 44% | 13% | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 46% | 6% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois Senate, Don Tracy
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Full interview with Don Tracy, Illinois Republican candidate for U.S. SenateCBS News Chicago political reporter Chris Tye sat down with former Illinois Republican Party chairman Don Tracy, the Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in the 2026 midterm elections, to discuss his candidacy and priorities. Full… -
U.S. Senate race spotlight: Juliana Stratton vs. Don Tracy in IllinoisIn less than two weeks, Illinois voters will decide who will replace longtime U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin, who is retiring after 30 years in office. The two candidates to replace him, Democratic Illinois Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton and former… -
In bid to replace U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin, Juliana Stratton and Don Tracy have very different visions for the futureOctober 22, 2026 / 6:15 PM CDT / CBS Chicago In less than two weeks, Illinois voters will decide who will replace longtime U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin, who is retiring after 30 years in office. The two candidates to replace him, Democratic… -
Trump looms in Illinois Senate debateShia Kapos' must-read rundown of political news in the Land of Lincoln 10/21/2026 08:00 AM EDT Good Wednesday morning, Illinois. Politics in this state has never been for the faint of heart. Republican Don Tracy and Democrat Juliana… -
Trump urges Illinois Republicans to vote by mail, endorses Darren Bailey but skips Senate nominee Don TracyPresident Donald Trump took to social media Thursday night with an Illinois-focused post that was notable for what it didn’t include: invective-laced attacks on Democratic Gov. JB Pritzker and Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson. Instead, the… -
Illinois U.S. Senate candidates Juliana Stratton, Don Tracy face off in first and only debateUpdated on: October 20, 2026 / 11:36 PM CDT / CBS Chicago The first and only forum between Democrat Juliana Stratton and Republican Don Tracy for the U.S. Senate in Illinois was held Tuesday evening. Both candidates are vying for the seat… -
Juliana Stratton, Don Tracy debate affordability, Iran as U.S. Senate race heats upIllinois’ Senate race continues to heat up, as Juliana Stratton and Don Tracy spar over immigration, affordability issues and more, as they told Mary Ann Ahern. The race to replace retiring Sen. Dick Durbin is heating up, as Illinois Lt… -
Key takeaways from the only Senate debate between Juliana Stratton and Don TracyU.S. Senate candidates Juliana Stratton and Don Tracy used an hourlong debate on Tuesday night to show just how far apart their policies are on everything from the minimum wage to immigration and tariffs. Stratton, the Democratic candidate… -
University of Illinois Senate plans to review Flock automated license plate reader contractIPM Newsroom University of Illinois Senate plans to review Flock automated license plate reader contract Reports of police using Flock cameras to track current or former romantic partners have prompted a national backlash. Illinois has… -
Don Tracy, Republican candidate for U.S. Senate from IllinoisOfficers found a man with a gunshot wound when they arrived on scene. Gregory’s amendment for more data fails. Ald. Notariano wants information about police SUV’s as she attempts to get wellness software through the council. Man allegedly… -
Where you can watch the only Senate debate between Juliana Stratton and Don TracyLt. Gov. Juliana Stratton and former Illinois Republican Party chair Don Tracy will face off in their only televised debate on Tuesday night as they vie for the U.S. Senate seat left vacant by Sen. Dick Durbin’s retirement. Stratton had… -
Stratton Leads Tracy in Illinois Senate RaceActiVote’s October 20, 2026 Illinois U.S. Senate poll finds that Democrat Juliana Stratton leads Republican Don Tracy by 17.0%. The poll was in the field between September 26 and October 20 (median field date of October 8). The poll was…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions