Idaho Senate election: Matt Loesby vote percent

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $495 traded · $193 at stake · prices read 11 h ago

The odds

1.94%median
0%8%
Median 1.94%Middle half 1.13% – 3.24%

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.29% on Oct 19, 1.94% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
At least 1% 79% ▼ 1 74¢ 84¢ $1.19 200
At least 2% 48% ▼ 1 43¢ 53¢ $1.89 400
At least 2.5% 36% ▼ 2 31¢ 41¢ $2.44
At least 3% 28% ▼ 2 23¢ 32¢ $3.13 405
At least 4% 17% ▼ 1 12¢ 22¢ $4.55 200
At least 5% 11% 6¢ 16¢ $6.25
At least 6% 7% 2¢ 12¢ $8.33
At least 7% 5% ▼ 1 9¢ $11.11

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Idaho Senate, Matt Loesby

Search ›
  • What’s up with the Idaho Senate race?NonStop Local KHQ · 2 days agoIDAHO - It’s a trend that’s taken on new life the election cycle, independent candidates running against establishment backed big names. Orion Donovan Smith, who's from Washington and writes for the The Spokesman-Review via the Report for…
  • Idaho senate candidates lay out prioritiesYahoo News · 3 days agoOct. 22—Idaho Sen. Jim Risch is seeking a fourth six-year term as issues surrounding affordability and persistent international conflict have risen to the fore alongside candidates looking to upend the state's decades-long streak of…
  • Democrat Ron Taylor seeks another term in Idaho Senate District 26The Times-News · 5 days agoPeople attended the District 26 Democrats: Affordability Town Hall event Tuesday to hear from three candidates about their campaigns and solutions in Jerome. Candidate Kevin Marsh, running for Idaho House Seat A, left, listens during an…
  • Senate candidates lay out priorities with affordability a shared concernIdaho Press · 4 days agoIdaho’s three-term Republican U.S. Senator Jim Risch, center, is facing two Independent candidates for this year’s race in Todd Achilles, left, and Natalie Fleming, right. Also running is Libertarian candidate Matt Loesby (not pictured)…
  • Idaho 2026 Election Guide: Key Dates, Voting Information and Results@kmvtnews · 5 days agoIDAHO — The November 2026 election is approaching, and KMVT’s voter guide includes information voters need before heading to the polls. This guide incorporates reporting and election information from sister station Idaho News 6. On…
  • Valley County Election Preview: Brian Beckley vs. Jared Dawson for Idaho LegislatureValley Lookout · 4 days agoTwo candidates are competing in the Nov. 3 General Election for one of two seats representing Valley County in the Idaho House of Representatives. Brian Beckley, a Republican who defeated incumbent Rep. Faye Thompson, R-McCall, in the May…
  • Candidate forum set for todayBonner County Daily Bee · 6 days agoSANDPOINT — If you're looking to get to know local and state candidates, Tuesday's candidate forum is just the spot to do just that. Bonner County media and the Selkirk Association of Realtors are teaming up to help area voters do just…
  • Idaho Senate candidates take the stagemtexpress.com · 10 days agoBryan Hyde, R-Jerome, answers a question during Pizza & Politics on Wednesday. Seated to the right are Shaila Tate, I-Carey, center, and Ron Taylor, D-Hailey. Candidates for Idaho’s District 26 Senate seat gathered in the Mountain Humane…
  • Letters for Sunday, Oct. 18Spokesman.com · 9 days agoWhile working side-by-side as volunteers, I learned Karen and I share much in common. Over our lifetimes, we either experienced or saw various inequities and understood everyone deserves dignity, respect and a safe and healthy life…
  • This Married Lesbian Couple Is Running to Unseat Idaho’s Top Conservative LawmakersGO Magazine · 10 days agoA married lesbian couple is running for the Idaho state legislature as a team, one for the state’s House and one for its Senate. The two moms are running as Democrats in November’s election. Amanda Easley is running against Idaho House…
  • Jim Risch calls for Iran war to end as rising costs take center stage in Idaho Senate racePost Register · 12 days agoU.S. Sen. Jim Risch, R-Idaho, stands on the steps of the Idaho State Capitol Building on May 30. U.S. Sen. Jim Risch speaks at a lying in state service for former Idaho Gov. Dirk Kempthorne at the Idaho State Capitol on May 15, 2026…
  • Conflict in Iran looms large as Risch faces Achilles in race for U.S. SenateLocal News 8 · 12 days ago‘There’s no path to win’ Independent candidate Todd Achilles is challenging Risch in the race for U.S. Senate. The candidates also responded to questions about the top concerns facing Idahoans today.“Two things – Congress isn't working…

Related markets

All senate ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions