Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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Iowa Senate election: Ashley Hinson vote percent
The odds
49%median
42%60%
Median 49%Middle half 47.5% – 50.71%
How the odds have moved
Median: 49.03% on Oct 20, 49% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 46% | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 48% | 69% | 64¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | ||
| At least 49% | 50% | 46¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 1.2K | |
| At least 50% | 34% | ▲ 1 | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 1.4K |
| At least 52% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 410 |
| At least 54% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | |||
| At least 56% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iowa Senate, Ashley Hinson
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Ashley Hinson Rips ‘Ridiculous’ Vance Attack on GOP Critics of Ramaswamy AdOct 25, 2026 at 03:08 PM EDT Oct 25, 2026 at 04:27 PM EDT Republican Iowa Senate candidate Ashley Hinson criticized Vice President JD Vance over his response to GOP criticism of Vivek Ramaswamy’s controversial campaign ad featuring the… -
Thune campaigns with Ashley Hinson as Senate Republicans view Iowa as a majority-makerOctober 23, 2026 / 10:09 PM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — Senate Majority Leader John Thune campaigned with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa on Friday in his latest effort to prop up Republican candidates on the campaign trail… -
WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tourSenate Majority Leader John Thune joins Rep. Ashley Hinson in Sioux City, Iowa, to tour the 185th Air Refueling Wing and host a campaign roundtable discussion. WATCH LIVE: Senate Majority Leader Thune joins Ashley Hinson on Iowa bus tour… -
Iowa Senate Candidates Rep. Ashley Hinson & Josh Turek and Gov. Wes Moore, Sunday on “This Week” with Co-anchor Jonathan KarlThis is a listing for 'This Week' airing Sunday, October 25, 2026. IOWA SENATE CANDIDATES REP. ASHLEY HINSON & JOSH TUREK AND GOV. WES MOORE, SUNDAY ON “THIS WEEK” WITH CO-ANCHOR JONATHAN KARL (R) Iowa Senate Nominee (D) Iowa Senate… -
Iowa's Ashley Hinson courts Trump loyalists while promising to push back on himOctober 23, 2026 / 11:43 AM CDT / AP After Ashley Hinson dropped off her boys at school earlier this month, she saw the initials "DJT" flash on her phone. "'Ashley, it's your favorite president,'" Iowa's Republican nominee for U.S. Senate… -
Donald Trump Iowa Rally Tests Ashley Hinson’s Distancing StrategyOct 23, 2026 at 12:36 PM EDT Oct 23, 2026 at 12:37 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump told Iowans to “pretend [he] is on the ballot” in the November election, a message that may test Republican Senate candidate Ashley Hinson’s campaign… -
Ashley Hinson Says She’ll Confront Trump on Putin Deals Ahead of Iowa RallyOct 22, 2026 at 03:58 PM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM EDT Republican Ashley Hinson has split with President Donald Trump over his diesel deal with Russia, saying she planned to tell him it was a "bad idea" a day before he was set to travel… -
One-on-one with Senate candidate Ashley Hinson in IowaNBC News Iowa Senate candidate Josh Turek says he wouldn’t impeach Trump One-on-one with Senate candidate Ashley Hinson in Iowa Christina Applegate misdiagnosed with MS Trump’s new push in Ukraine talks California man injured in violent… -
Ashley Hinson Campaign Stop Scheduled for Saturday Morning in Greene CountyInfluenza season is fast approaching, and St. Anthony is here to help keep our community healthy. The St. Anthony Clinic in Carroll is offering influenza vaccine clinics in October. Patients can schedule ahead or walk in. Flu vaccine… -
PolitiFact Rates 2 Democrat-Backed Attack Ads Against Rep. Ashley Hinson ‘Mostly False’PolitiFact has rated two attack advertisements targeting Republican Iowa U.S. Senate nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA) as “Mostly False,” finding that WinSenate, an operation of the Democratic Senate Majority PAC, made misleading claims… -
Trump rallying with Senate hopeful Ashley Hinson in Iowa as she pledges to push back on White HouseOctober 22, 2026 / 6:00 AM EDT / CBS News Sioux City, Iowa — President Trump is set to rally Thursday with Rep. Ashley Hinson in Iowa as he seeks to boost Republican candidates in a political environment that has dimmed for the party —…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions