Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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Colorado Senate election: John Hickenlooper vote percent
The odds
59.48%median
48%70%
Median 59.48%Middle half 57.06% – 61.95%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.72% on Oct 19, 59.48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 52% | 97% | ▲ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 54% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | |
| At least 56% | 84% | ▲ 3 | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 200 |
| At least 58% | 67% | ▲ 4 | 62¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 204 |
| At least 60% | 44% | ▲ 2 | 39¢ | 49¢ | $2.04 | |
| At least 62% | 25% | ▲ 1 | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | |
| At least 64% | 14% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 367 |
| At least 66% | 7% | ▼ 3 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 738 |
| At least 68% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Colorado Senate, John Hickenlooper
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Incumbent Democrat has outspent Republican challenger by 10 to 1 in in Colorado Senate District 8 raceNewsNews | Oct 22, 2026 The incumbent Democrat continues to outpace his Republican challenger in fundraising — and spending — in November’s race for Colorado Senate District 8. Dylan Roberts’ campaign has raised more than $170,000 and… -
Electric vehicle tax credits losing their luster for DemocratsPresident Donald Trump’s attacks on Biden-era electric vehicle policy is hampering Democrats’ ambitions to bring back buyer incentives. Sen. John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.) says Democrats need to weigh the future of EV tax credits. | Francis… -
Reps. Whitesides, Lofgren Introduce Bill To Protect Elections From Intimidation Tactics And InterferencePosted by: KHTS News Release in Politics, Press Releases, Santa Clarita Latest News October 24, 2026 - 1:15 pm 0 23 Views The SHIELD Our Elections Act has a senate companion bill led by Senator Alex Padilla (D-CA). Specifically, the SHIELD… -
'Protect Elections from Intimidation Tactics, Inference Act' ProposedReps. George Whitesides (CA-27) and Zoe Lofgren (CA-18) introduced the Stop Harassment and Intimidations in Elections through Legal Defenses (SHIELD) Our Elections Act on Friday, Oct. 23. This legislation is designed to empower state… -
Local parties step up election efforts in El Paso CountyHope ebbs and flows for the Democratic Party in El Paso County. This year, it’s at an all-time high. “I’ve never felt or seen this type of energy before,” said Chauncey Johnson, a Congressional District 5 regional organizing director… - Valadao, Blackburn applaud enactment of Romance Scam Prevention ActBipartisan, bicameral legislation led by U.S. Rep. David Valadao (R-CA) and U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) that targets romance scammers became law on Oct. 20 with the president’s signature. The Romance Scam Prevention Act, H.R. 2481…
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Election forecaster shifts 2 Colorado House seats toward DemocratsA leading national election forecaster moved the Colorado U.S. House seats held by Republican U.S. Reps. Gabe Evans and Lauren Boebert toward Democrats Tuesday, amid growing signs that control of the chamber is poised to flip in next… -
Press ReleasesPresident Signs Congressman Valadao’s Romance Scam Prevention Act into Law Congressman David Valadao (.gov) President Signs Congressman Valadao’s Romance Scam Prevention Act into Law WASHINGTON – Yesterday, President Trump signed… -
Sen. Angus King Joins Colleagues in Urging Continued Access to Federal Satellite Weather DataSen. Angus King (I) has joined Sens. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) in urging the federal government to maintain access to weather data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP), which is nearing the end… -
PERRY: Over the top. We have the solution to candidate policy overload. Roll with it.Are you actually willing to spend your vote on someone who doesn’t like dogs? Can you live with yourself for four years voting for a candidate who isn’t willing to pass legislation to clarify whether public toilet paper rolls should unwind… - WHAT THEY ARE SAYING: Leaders from Across the Country Applaud the Passage of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs ActSee below for what they are saying about the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act: Sen. Sherrod Brown: "The bipartisan infrastructure package is a historic win for Ohio communities – and it's a recipe for job creation all over…
- 5 members of Colorado’s congressional delegation report suspicious lettersAll four of Colorado’s Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives and one U.S. senator received letters with a suspicious substance Monday, the lawmakers said. The FBI and U.S. Postal Inspection Service are investigating…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions