Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Arkansas Senate election: Tom Cotton vote percent
The odds
56.05%median
46%70%
Median 56.05%Middle half 53.48% – 58.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 56% on Oct 19, 56.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 50% | 94% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | |
| At least 52% | 87% | ▲ 1 | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 11.00 |
| At least 54% | 71% | ▲ 1 | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 510 |
| At least 56% | 51% | ▲ 1 | 46¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 405 |
| At least 58% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| At least 60% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 62% | 5% | 9¢ | $11.11 | |||
| At least 64% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 7.00 | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 68% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Arkansas Senate, Tom Cotton
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Hallie Shoffner Outraises Tom Cotton Nearly Threefold in Third Quarter FundraisingHome » Trending » Hallie Shoffner Outraises Tom Cotton Nearly Threefold in Third Quarter Fundraising In a significant turn of events in the competitive race for the U.S. Senate seat, Democratic candidate Hallie Shoffner has outperformed… -
THE SHELL LEAKS FILES — 24 OCTOBER 2026On 5 August 2020, three members of the United States Senate signed a letter addressed to two executives of a German port company. The recipients were Harm Sievers and Fridjof Ostenberg of Fährhafen Sassnitz GmbH. The company operated… -
Columbia County residents can vote through 4 p.m. Saturday at County AnnexAn additional 351 people cast ballots in Columbia County on Friday, October 23, 2026, raising the early voting total to 1,722. Early voting is available from 10 a.m. to 4 p.m. Saturday at the Columbia County Annex, 101 Boundary Street in… -
More than 1,300 Columbia County voters have cast ballotsA total of 1,371 people have already cast ballots in Columbia County through the first four days of early voting in the Tuesday, November 3, 2026 general election. County Clerk Tammy J. Wiltz reported that 330 people voted on Thursday… -
Daylight saving time: Clocks 'fall back' just days from nowWASHINGTON — You'll get an extra hour to sleep off the Halloween fun this year (unless you have young children), as most Americans across the country "fall back" to standard time for daylight saving time. The biannual clock change will… -
Arkansas Dem Senate Candidate Says Requiring Proof of Citizenship To Vote 'Disenfranchises 22 Million Americans'Democrat Hallie Shoffner, running for Senate in Arkansas against incumbent Republican Tom Cotton, argued that requiring "proof of citizenship" to vote "disenfranchises 22 million Americans." She said the SAVE Act, the proposed federal… -
A national Democratic wave, with a possible exception in New EnglandThe story of the midterm elections over the past few months has been how Democrats are going on the offense in deep Republican territory. Kansas might elect its first Democrat to the Senate since 1932. Mississippi might do the same for the… -
Arkansas farmers pushed 'to the brink' as Senate hopefuls clash over tariffsArkansas farmers facing high input costs, low crop prices and narrowing markets are being pushed “to the brink,” prompting sharp disagreements among the candidates running for U.S. Senate over what should be done to help. Sen. Tom Cotton… -
Daylight Saving Time Ends November 1 as Permanent-Time Bill Stalls in SenateCENTRE– Residents across Alabama and Georgia will turn their clocks back one hour Sunday, November 1, as daylight saving time ends. Meanwhile, legislation to end the twice-yearly clock changes remains stalled in the U.S. Senate. The change… -
In Arkansas’ U.S. Senate race, Tom Cotton has most cash on hand, while Hallie Shoffner leads in fundraisingThe Arkansas Democrat-Gazette In Arkansas’ U.S. Senate race, Tom Cotton has most cash on hand, while Hallie Shoffner leads in fundraising -
Shoffner crushes Cotton in 3Q fundraisingFor the second time in as many reports, Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Hallie Shoffner has outraised her opponent, Sen. Tom Cotton. “Outraised” is a bit of an understatement, in fact. Unlike the slim margin she held in second-quarter… -
OPINION: More ballot choices for Nov. 3 midterm electionsAfter last week's start on picking the best candidate for public offices on the Nov. 3 midterm election ballot, I have few regrets. I will, however, toss Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders a rose, of sorts, for at least appearing on the ARTV…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions