Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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Alabama Senate election: Everett Wess vote percent
The odds
40.5%median
30%48%
Median 40.5%Middle half 38.05% – 43.03%
How the odds have moved
Median: 39.92% on Oct 19, 40.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 32% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 34% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | |||
| At least 36% | 90% | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 38% | 76% | 71¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| At least 40% | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | ||
| At least 42% | 34% | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 5.00 | |
| At least 44% | 17% | ▼ 1 | 13¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 5.00 |
| At least 46% | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alabama Senate, Everett Wess
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Poll: Barry Moore leads Everett Wess in U.S. Senate raceMONTGOMERY, Ala. — New polling shows Republican U.S. Rep. Barry Moore has a 15-point lead over Democratic nominee Everett Wess in the race for Alabama’s U.S. Senate seat. An Alabama Daily News and Gray Television poll of 500 likely general… -
Moore, Wess outline priorities in race for Alabama's open U.S. Senate seatBIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBMA) — With Alabama voters preparing to choose their next U.S. senator, the two major-party candidates are outlining how they would approach some of the state's biggest challenges, including rising costs, healthcare… -
Alabama Senate Race: Who Best Speaks for Agriculture?In a senatorial race with ramifications for U.S. farming, Democrat Everett Wess and Republican Barry Moore are battling in Alabama. A key agriculture state, Alabama is second in U.S. broiler production, second in catfish, and a top… -
Alabama Senate Democrats’ top staffer Amanda Brown joins Ross Taylor & AssociatesRoss Taylor & Associates, a government affairs and strategic consulting firm formed last year by two Alabama political juggernauts, John Ross and Charlie Taylor, announced today that Amanda Brown, who most recently served as chief of staff… -
What Alabama voters care about most, what it means for Trump and the Senate raceBIRMINGHAM, Ala. (WBRC) - Forget the horse race for a minute. Here’s what Alabama voters say actually matters to them. Inflation and the cost of living is the runaway number one issue at 37.3% in our exclusive Gray Media Alabama / Alabama… -
Alabama House Speaker Ledbetter, Pro Tem Gudger propel John Wahl campaign with quarter-million fundraising nightJohn Wahl is expected to post a blockbuster week of fundraising heading into the final days of campaigning for the 2026 general election. Wahl, the Republican nominee for Lt. Governor, can credit that partially to the state’s top two… -
Tuscaloosa County GOP to Host Tuberville Oct. 21Wednesday evening meet & greet will be held at Hotel Capstone The Tuscaloosa County Republican Party will host a meet & greet with U.S. Senator Tommy Tuberville, the Republican nominee for Governor, on Wednesday, October 21. The event will… -
Gudger receives Senate Leader of the Year award from regional councils associationMONTGOMERY, Ala. – The Alabama Association of Regional Councils has named Alabama Senate President Pro Tempore Garlan Gudger, R-Cullman, its 2026 Senate Leader of the Year, according to an Oct. 20 announcement from the association. Robby… -
Two Weeks to Election Day: A Promise to Put Alabama FirstA Message from Attorney Everett Wess, Democratic Nominee for the United States Senate From the Wess campaign With just two weeks remaining before this very important election, the choice facing Alabama voters could not be clearer. This… -
At the Grand Ole Party, Alabama Candidates Were Aligned, but the Future Lies With Gen Z LeadersOn Monday, the Republican candidates for statewide and national office aligned their schedules to attend the Grand Ole Party in Florence, Alabama. U.S. Sen. and Alabama gubernatorial candidate Tommy Tuberville (R) was the featured guest… -
Tuberville Leads Jones by 11 as GOP Tops Statewide PollRepublicans lead every Statewide race tested, while voters favor a lottery, gas tax relief and strict terms for AI data centers TL;DR: Tommy Tuberville leads Doug Jones 50.8% to 39.4% in a new Alabama Poll, with Republicans ahead by double… -
Gudger named AARC Senate Leader of the YearPublished 8:53 am Wednesday, October 21, 2026 Alabama Senate President Pro Tempore Garlan Gudger, R-Cullman, has been named the 2026 Senate Leader of the Year by the Alabama Association of Regional Councils (AARC). Gudger received the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions