Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.14%median
14%34%
Median 28.14%Middle half 25.94% – 30.67%
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Louisiana Senate election: Julia Letlow vote percent
The odds
55%median
48%68%
Median 55%Middle half 52.51% – 57.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 55.18% on Oct 19, 55% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 90% | ▼ 1 | 87¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | |
| At least 52% | 80% | ▲ 1 | 76¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | 203 |
| At least 54% | 61% | ▲ 1 | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 220 |
| At least 56% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | 807 |
| At least 58% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 765 |
| At least 60% | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 418 | |
| At least 62% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 10.00 | ||
| At least 64% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| At least 66% | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Louisiana Senate, Julia Letlow
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U.S. Senate candidate Julia Letlow urges supporters to vote against “socialist” DemocratsU.S. Representative Julia Letlow after winning the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate. With early voting underway, Louisiana’s Republican U.S. Senate nominee, Julia Letlow, urged her supporters to get the polls to cast their ballots for… -
Who will replace Julia Letlow in Louisiana's 5th Congressional District?Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Nov. 3 ballot is packed with political heavyweights as well as anti-establishment underdog upstarts with nine candidates seeking to replace incumbent Republican Congresswoman Julia Letlow. Letlow gave… -
Campaign financial gap is closing between Jamie Davis and Julia Letlow in Senate raceStacks of one hundred dollar bills The latest campaign finance report shows that Republican Julia Letlow has $476,000 more in cash on hand than her Democratic opponent Jamie Davis. Dr. Pearson Cross, who teaches political science at ULM… -
Nearly 1,000 detained amid mass protests across FranceAnalysts say Democrat Jamie Davis remains an underdog against Republican Julia Letlow. The Livingston Police Department is asking for the public’s help identifying an 18-wheeler that may have been ... Nearly 1,000 detained amid mass… -
U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis campaigns in Shreveport as early voting continues in Caddo ParishSHREVEPORT, La. (KSLA) - U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis made a campaign stop in Shreveport on Saturday, Oct. 24, as early voting continues across Caddo Parish. Davis, the Democratic nominee, is facing Republican Julia Letlow in the Nov… -
Trump’s name was everywhere in earlier Louisiana elections. What about this time?Donald Trump is missing. He remains the president, of course, but his name has almost entirely vanished from this year’s congressional elections in Louisiana. Earlier in the election cycle, Republicans were pushing each other aside to… -
Early voting numbers up among Black voters, according to LA Democratic PartyBATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Nearly 300,000 ballots have been cast in the first four days of early voting in Louisiana, and Black voters are making up a larger share of that total than they did in 2022. “We went from 23.4% of early ballots in… -
Stephanie Grace: Is Senate candidate Jamie Davis making this a race to watch?As the days tick down toward the midterm elections, something fascinating is happening: The map of competitive U.S. Senate seats is growing. Not only that, it’s tilting south, pulled not just by swing states like North Carolina and Georgia… -
As Louisiana U.S. Senate election approaches, the campaign financial gap is closing between Jamie Davis and Julia LetlowRepublican JULIA LETLOW (left), and Democrat JAMIE DAVIS (right) The latest campaign finance report shows that Republican Julia Letlow has $476,000 more in cash on hand than her Democratic opponent Jamie Davis. Dr. Pearson Cross, who… -
This Louisiana election is unusual, some observers say. Here’s why.A poster of the "I Voted" sticker by Terrance Osborne was on display during early voting for the Nov. 3 ballot. WASHINGTON – Baton Rouge pollster John Couvillon turned on his TV after Labor Day expecting — and like most political junkies… -
Black voter turnout surges in Louisiana early voting(The Center Square) — Black voters are turning out at rates rarely seen in Louisiana's recent election history, accounting for nearly one-third of early ballots cast ahead of the Nov. 3 election, according to state election data. Through…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions