Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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Louisiana Senate election: Jamie Davis vote percent
The odds
43.94%median
32%50%
Median 43.94%Middle half 40.93% – 46.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41.66% on Oct 20, 43.94% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | |||
| At least 36% | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | ||
| At least 38% | 95% | ▼ 2 | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 400 |
| At least 40% | 82% | ▼ 8 | 77¢ | 86¢ | $1.16 | 604 |
| At least 42% | 68% | ▼ 9 | 63¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 941 |
| At least 44% | 50% | ▼ 7 | 45¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 814 |
| At least 46% | 30% | ▼ 5 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 533 |
| At least 48% | 14% | ▼ 3 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Louisiana Senate, Jamie Davis
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Stephanie Grace: Is Senate candidate Jamie Davis making this a race to watch?As the days tick down toward the midterm elections, something fascinating is happening: The map of competitive U.S. Senate seats is growing. Not only that, it’s tilting south, pulled not just by swing states like North Carolina and Georgia… -
U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis campaigns in Shreveport as early voting continues in Caddo ParishSHREVEPORT, La. (KSLA) - U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis made a campaign stop in Shreveport on Saturday, Oct. 24, as early voting continues across Caddo Parish. Davis, the Democratic nominee, is facing Republican Julia Letlow in the Nov… -
Louisiana U.S. Senate candidate Jamie Davis outlines list of priorities if electedAs early voting in the U.S. Senate general election continues, the candidates are pulling out all the stops in getting their messages across to voters. Democratic nominee Jamie Davis says he has several priorities should voters send him to… -
Opinion: Jamie Davis is the candidate Louisiana needs for senatorWith the midterms coming up in November, Louisiana will be electing a new candidate to the U.S. Senate — either Jamie Davis or Julia Letlow. If we want Louisiana to head toward a new, better direction, our Democratic candidate Jamie Davis… -
Jamie Davis has announced his campaign for Congress in the United States Senate“I’ll start with what I’m not. I’m not a career politician. My name is Jamie Davis. I’m a third-generation farmer from Tensas Parish — up in the Delta — where I grow cotton, corn, and soybeans on the same ground my grandfather worked as a… -
Campaign financial gap is closing between Jamie Davis and Julia Letlow in Senate raceStacks of one hundred dollar bills The latest campaign finance report shows that Republican Julia Letlow has $476,000 more in cash on hand than her Democratic opponent Jamie Davis. Dr. Pearson Cross, who teaches political science at ULM… -
As Louisiana U.S. Senate election approaches, the campaign financial gap is closing between Jamie Davis and Julia LetlowRepublican JULIA LETLOW (left), and Democrat JAMIE DAVIS (right) The latest campaign finance report shows that Republican Julia Letlow has $476,000 more in cash on hand than her Democratic opponent Jamie Davis. Dr. Pearson Cross, who… -
Early voting numbers up among Black voters, according to LA Democratic PartyBATON ROUGE, La. (WAFB) - Nearly 300,000 ballots have been cast in the first four days of early voting in Louisiana, and Black voters are making up a larger share of that total than they did in 2022. “We went from 23.4% of early ballots in… -
Nearly 1,000 detained amid mass protests across FranceAnalysts say Democrat Jamie Davis remains an underdog against Republican Julia Letlow. The Livingston Police Department is asking for the public’s help identifying an 18-wheeler that may have been ... Nearly 1,000 detained amid mass… -
This Louisiana election is unusual, some observers say. Here’s why.A poster of the "I Voted" sticker by Terrance Osborne was on display during early voting for the Nov. 3 ballot. WASHINGTON – Baton Rouge pollster John Couvillon turned on his TV after Labor Day expecting — and like most political junkies… -
Black voter turnout surges in Louisiana early voting(The Center Square) — Black voters are turning out at rates rarely seen in Louisiana's recent election history, accounting for nearly one-third of early ballots cast ahead of the Nov. 3 election, according to state election data. Through… -
Julia Letlow, Jamie Davis offer different visions for Louisiana in U.S. Senate raceBATON ROUGE, La. (Louisiana First) — Louisiana voters will choose a new U.S. senator on Nov. 3, deciding between Republican U.S. Rep. Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis in a race shaped by competing priorities, congressional experience…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions