Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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WA-08 House election: Spencer Meline vote percent
The odds
41.76%median
32%50%
Median 41.76%Middle half 38.46% – 44.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 41% on Oct 20, 41.76% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 94% | 89¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 36% | 88% | 83¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | ||
| At least 38% | 78% | 73¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | ||
| At least 40% | 65% | 60¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 42% | 48% | 43¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | ||
| At least 44% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | |
| At least 46% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 48% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Spencer Meline
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Spencer Meline Challenging Rep. Kim Schrier In WA-8th Congressional RaceRepresentative Kim Schrier is seeking a 5th term in Congress, representing Washington's 8th Congressional District as a Democrat. Wenatchee Valley business owner and Cashmere resident Spencer Meline is a Republican candidate hoping to flip… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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WA leaders push back as federal health cuts threaten millionsFederal lawmakers in Washington state warned that upcoming spending cuts under H.R. 1 could strip coverage from over 200,000 residents and cause billions in hospital revenue losses. SEATTLE - As open enrollment begins across Washington… -
Plateau Voter’s Guide 2026: Everything to know about your ballotPublished 2:20 pm Thursday, October 15, 2026 The weather is chilly, the leaves are changing, and flocks are flying south — all signs that fall is here, and with it, election season. Plateau voters should have already received a Voter’s… -
ELECTION 2026: Issaquah voter’s November candidate guidePublished 5:20 pm Wednesday, October 14, 2026 Election season is here and this guide will take you through what candidates and proposition the constituents of Issaquah will be voting on come Nov. 3. Voter pamphlets have been delivered and… -
ELECTION 2026: November voting guide for Redmond’s candidatesPublished 5:00 pm Wednesday, October 14, 2026 All ballots must be dropped off by 8:00 p.m. on Nov. 3. The 2026 midterm general election is upon us; the voters’ pamphlets have been released and ballots will be mailed out this week, so here… -
2026 general election: featured races and measures to watchWe'll cover all races and ballot measures this November on air, online, in the newspaper, and on social media. From left: Amanda McKinney and John Duresky. U.S. Representative, District 4 From left: Kim Schrier and Spencer Meline. U.S… -
ELECTION 2026: A look at Auburn’s school bond, candidatesPublished 1:20 pm Tuesday, October 13, 2026 The 2026 midterm general election is upon us; the voters’ pamphlets have been released and ballots will be mailed out this week, so here is a breakdown of the candidates for Auburn voters to… -
ELECTION 2026: Renton’s guide to who’s on the ballotPublished 8:12 am Tuesday, October 13, 2026 In King County, election ballots are mailed out on Oct. 14 and drop boxes will be opened the following day. Ballots must be dropped off at a drop box or postmarked for mail by Election Day, Nov…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.8%median
8%28%
Median 15.8%Middle half 14.13% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.77%median
32%56%
Median 44.77%Middle half 41.27% – 47.5%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions