Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
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UT-02 House election: Carlton Bowen vote percent
The odds
1.6%median
0%8%
Median 1.6%Middle half 1.05% – 2.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.6% on Oct 20, 1.6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 1% | 78% | ▲ 1 | 73¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 800 |
| At least 2% | 32% | ▼ 1 | 29¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 2.5K |
| At least 3% | 10% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 210 |
| At least 4% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | ||
| At least 5% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 6% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 7% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UT- House, Carlton Bowen
Search ›- Long odds still favor incumbent Republican in hotly contested race in Utah's 2nd District – KVNU – News for Northern Utah and Southern IdahoLOGAN – Despite a less than stellar performance at the only face-to-face debate in the 2nd Congressional District race on Oct. 13, odds-makers are still predicting that incumbent U.S. Rep. Blake Moore (R-UT) will retain his seat in…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions