Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.68%median
14%34%
Median 28.68%Middle half 26.33% – 31.08%
Install
TX-35 House election: Johnny Garcia vote percent
The odds
51.69%median
40%60%
Median 51.69%Middle half 48.97% – 54.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.19% on Oct 19, 51.69% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 44% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 46% | 93% | 88¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | ||
| At least 48% | 83% | 78¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | ||
| At least 50% | 67% | 62¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | ||
| At least 52% | 47% | 42¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | 12.00 | |
| At least 54% | 28% | ▲ 1 | 24¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | 200 |
| At least 56% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | |
| At least 58% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Johnny Garcia
Search ›-
Texas Democrat Johnny Garcia’s Record on Veterans Doesn't Look GoodDemocrat House candidate Johnny Garcia, running in one of the country's most veteran-heavy districts, served as the Public Information Officer for the Bexar County Sheriff’s Office as the agency endured numerous scandals. The Bexar County… -
Where Democrats think Republican gerrymandering will backfireHouse Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Texas this weekend as Democrats become increasingly confident that GOP-led gerrymandering could backfire in both the Lone Star State and in Florida. Jeffries will campaign with Johnny… -
Hakeem Jeffries to campaign in Texas on behalf of Bexar County congressional candidate Johnny GarciaWASHINGTON — House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Texas to campaign with Johnny Garcia, who is running in a redistricted San Antonio-area congressoinal seat that Democrats believe they can win, according to a person familiar… -
San Antonio gets powerhouse political lineup ahead of Texas midtermsEva Longoria, Greg Abbott, James Talarico, Hakeem Jeffries and Dustin Burrows are among the high-profile figures planning campaign stops in the San Antonio area. San Antonio is getting a final wave of political star power as celebrities… -
🗳️ Get the most important election updates every weekNational party leaders, Gov. Greg Abbott and even actress Eva Longoria are all headed to campaign in San Antonio in the final stretch of the Nov. 3 election. Longoria, a longtime Democratic activist who owns a home in San Antonio , will… -
From sheriff’s deputy to congressional hopeful, Johnny Garcia looks to bridge political dividesJohnny Garcia, 39, has spent most of his adult life serving the people of Bexar County as a sheriff’s deputy, from working inside the county jail to patrolling neighborhoods and serving as the spokesman for Sheriff Javier Salazar. Now, the… -
Political newcomers De La Cruz and Garcia battle for redrawn Texas 35th Congressional DistrictSAN ANTONIO – On Nov. 3, Texas voters will choose a new U.S. representative for the newly redrawn 35th Congressional District. On the ballot are Republican Carlos De La Cruz and Democrat Johnny Garcia. Political ads for both candidates… -
Donald Trump Asked Texas For Five More Republicans. Voters Might Have Other Plans.Texas Democratic congressional candidate Johnny Garcia, center, is running against Republican Carlos De La Cruz in the redrawn Texas 35th Congressional district.Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call/Getty “We’re seeing a 16-point shift of Latinos coming… -
With Carlos De La Cruz, Republicans seek to keep new Texas district in the familyFour years ago, retired Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz was cheering from the sidelines for his older sister’s history-making congressional campaign. Now if things go his way in the coming weeks, he and U.S. Rep. Monica De La Cruz… -
Dem congressional candidate's police record reveals suspensions over stolen gun, insubordinationRep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, criticizes Senate candidate James Talarico's voting record and campaign absence. Roy claims Talarico's progressive stances on borders and social issues make him deeply out of step with Texas voters. Johnny Garcia, a… - Why Is This Texas Democrat Hiding His Endorsements?Democrat congressional candidate Johnny Garcia, who is running in one of the most contentious House elections of the cycle, has entirely removed his endorsements page from the navigation of his... Why Is This Texas Democrat Hiding His…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
15.86%median
8%28%
Median 15.86%Middle half 14.14% – 18%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
44.55%median
36%56%
Median 44.55%Middle half 41.5% – 47.09%
Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)
10.75%median
0%16%
Median 10.75%Middle half 8.41% – 13.61%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
7%40%
Median 13.88%Middle half 10.49% – 17.65%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
30%65%
Median 45.43%Middle half 41.97% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions