Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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TX-35 House election: Carlos De La Cruz vote percent
The odds
46.92%median
40%60%
Median 46.92%Middle half 44.22% – 49.61%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.97% on Oct 20, 46.92% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 89% | 84¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| At least 44% | 77% | 72¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 1.00 | |
| At least 46% | 59% | 54¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | ||
| At least 48% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| At least 50% | 22% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 100 |
| At least 52% | 10% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| At least 54% | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | |
| At least 56% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| At least 58% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Carlos De La Cruz, TX- House
Search ›-
Texas Democrat Johnny Garcia’s Record on Veterans Doesn't Look GoodDemocrat House candidate Johnny Garcia, running in one of the country's most veteran-heavy districts, served as the Public Information Officer for the Bexar County Sheriff’s Office as the agency endured numerous scandals. The Bexar County… -
With Carlos De La Cruz, Republicans seek to keep new Texas district in the familyFour years ago, retired Air Force veteran Carlos De La Cruz was cheering from the sidelines for his older sister’s history-making congressional campaign. Now if things go his way in the coming weeks, he and U.S. Rep. Monica De La Cruz… -
GOP candidate's behind-the-scenes gaffe reveals what he thinks of 'not popular' TrumpAn apparent behind-the-scenes note telling staff to avoid mentioning Donald Trump showed up on the campaign site of Minnesota Republican Eric Pratt, the Daily Beast reports. “The President is not popular, so all messaging should be focused… -
Midterms: In which districts will the Hispanic vote be most decisive?In November, 39 million Latino voters, 5 million more than in the 2022 midterms, are expected to go to the polls, accounting for 16% of the total, up 1 percentage point from two years ago. Published October 21, 2026, 7:17 AM ET… -
Trump to make fourth trip to Texas for rallies in Lubbock and Waco ahead of midterm electionsUpdated on: October 19, 2026 / 5:19 PM CDT / CBS Texas President Donald Trump will visit Texas for a fourth time this election season to hold rallies ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, the Republican National Committee announced Monday… -
Political newcomers De La Cruz and Garcia battle for redrawn Texas 35th Congressional DistrictSAN ANTONIO – On Nov. 3, Texas voters will choose a new U.S. representative for the newly redrawn 35th Congressional District. On the ballot are Republican Carlos De La Cruz and Democrat Johnny Garcia. Political ads for both candidates… -
Donald Trump Asked Texas For Five More Republicans. Voters Might Have Other Plans.Texas Democratic congressional candidate Johnny Garcia, center, is running against Republican Carlos De La Cruz in the redrawn Texas 35th Congressional district.Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call/Getty “We’re seeing a 16-point shift of Latinos coming… - ‘Bexar County is the future:’ Why both parties are making San Antonio a top priority in this electionVoters in Bexar County could hold the reins to state’s direction. Getting people to the poles concerns both parties, as political leaders nationwide watch. This story first appeared in the San Antonio Report. In the final days of the 2026…
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The AI industry’s race for influence includes $100 million in campaign cashLeading AI companies have set up political action committees to support both Republican and Democratic candidates in the midterm elections. The effort by Anthropic and OpenAI comes as Congress faces calls to regulate the industry. There’s… -
Trump Will Return to Texas for Two More Midterm Rallies Next WeekPresident Donald Trump will be heading back to Texas for two rallies next week as early voting is underway in the Lone Star State. President Trump is coming back to Texas next Tuesday for rallies in Lubbock and Waco, per RNC Ken Paxton… -
Hakeem Jeffries to campaign in Texas on behalf of Bexar County congressional candidate Johnny GarciaWASHINGTON — House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries is heading to Texas to campaign with Johnny Garcia, who is running in a redistricted San Antonio-area congressoinal seat that Democrats believe they can win, according to a person familiar… -
From sheriff’s deputy to congressional hopeful, Johnny Garcia looks to bridge political dividesJohnny Garcia, 39, has spent most of his adult life serving the people of Bexar County as a sheriff’s deputy, from working inside the county jail to patrolling neighborhoods and serving as the spokesman for Sheriff Javier Salazar. Now, the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions