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WY-AL House election: Chuck Gray vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 65.06% on Oct 19, 63.91% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 60% | 88% | ▼ 4 | 84¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 279 |
| At least 62% | 73% | ▼ 6 | 69¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | |
| At least 64% | 49% | ▼ 10 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 191 |
| At least 66% | 30% | ▼ 6 | 26¢ | 33¢ | $3.03 | |
| At least 68% | 13% | ▼ 4 | 9¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | |
| At least 70% | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 290 |
| At least 72% | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | |
| At least 74% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 76% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| At least 78% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WY-AL House, Chuck Gray
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Barrasso, Hageman, And Lummis Endorse Chuck Gray And Eric BarlowWyoming congressional delegates Barrasso, Lummis and Hageman bridged the vast differences between Chuck Gray and Eric Barlow on Wednesday, to endorse them both. Gray is an early founder of the Wyoming Freedom Caucus, while Barlow has never… -
Wyoming congressional delegates endorse Barlow and GrayU.S. Rep. Harriet Hageman listens to a member of her audience during a March 2025 town hall meeting in Afton. U.S. Sens. John Barrasso and Cynthia Lummis, both R-Wyoming. CHEYENNE — Wyoming’s three members of Congress, U.S. Sens. John… -
Tom Lubnau: A Party That Wants to Flush Fifty Years of WinningColumnist Tom Lubnau writes, "Chuck Gray is running affordability ads in October. When a Republican in Wyoming starts airing poll-tested commercials this late in the race, somebody on his staff is reading numbers they don't like." Wyoming… -
Fox News Power Rankings: Trump country at a crossroadsBill Hemmer breaks down the latest Fox News Power Rankings as congressional races tighten and candidates trade jabs ahead of midterms. Republicans have had their share of good and bad election nights this century, but they’ve usually been… -
Wyoming News BriefsFederal court grants Gray’s motion to dismiss Victor Miller lawsuit CHEYENNE (WNE) — The United States District Court for the District of Wyoming recently entered an order granting Wyoming Secretary of State Chuck Gray’s motion to dismiss… -
Elections, data centers and court battles: Three secretary of state debate takeawaysby Maya Shimizu Harris, WyoFile The secretary of state race is down to three candidates. At a Thursday debate, the remaining contenders shared their thoughts about elections, data centers, court battles and more. Republican Robert Short, a… -
Trump creates new problems for Republicans with overnight post on hot-button issueDonald Trump took to Truth Social early Wednesday to press for more data centers to be built at a time when it has become a highly contentious issue with Republican Party candidates.In a post at 1:37 a.m. ET, he urged tech companies and… -
Who showed up for Wyoming’s US House debate and key takeawaysby Mike Koshmrl, WyoFile For those familiar with Wyoming political history, it might seem like a foregone conclusion that voters are poised to elect Republican nominee Chuck Gray to be the state’s next at-large representative in the U.S… -
Wyoming deserves better in D.C. than another rubber-stamp conservativeWyomingNews.com - Manage Subscription (Pay Your Bill, Vacation Request, Update Account Info) A vote for Chuck Gray is a vote for more wars, more tariffs and higher prices. A vote for Lisa Kinney is a vote for Wyoming. We deserve better… -
Fox News exposes alarming collapse in Trump’s rural strongholdsPresident Donald Trump is losing his sway with the rural voters who once supported him in droves, as a new Fox News poll exposes the collapse of GOP support in the heartland as the midterm elections come in two weeks. A Fox News Power… -
National Election Analysts Say Wyoming House Race Isn't A Slam Dunk For GOPAlthough Wyoming has sent only Republicans to the U.S. House for 50 years, a national nonpartisan analysis group says the GOP lock on the state is no longer a certainty. Inside Elections has moved the race from "Solid Republican" To… -
Letter To The Editor: I'm A Lifelong Republican And I Support Kinney And ByrdDear editor: When I vote on November 3 as a lifelong Republican, veteran, and retiree I am voting for Democrats James Byrd for the Senate, and Lisa Kinney for the House. These two are traditional Wyoming Democrats like former Governor Dave…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions