Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.65%median
14%34%
Median 28.65%Middle half 26.29% – 31.08%
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WV-02 House election: Ace Parsi vote percent
The odds
33.9%median
24%44%
Median 33.9%Middle half 31.38% – 36.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 33.29% on Oct 19, 33.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 26% | 97% | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 28% | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 30% | 86% | 81¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 32% | 70% | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | ||
| At least 34% | 49% | 44¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | 200 | |
| At least 36% | 30% | ▲ 1 | 25¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 200 |
| At least 38% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 10.00 |
| At least 40% | 6% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | |
| At least 42% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WV- House, Ace Parsi
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WV House of Delegates District 16 candidates weigh in on key county issuesJACKSON COUNTY, W.Va. - Candidates running for West Virginia House of Delegates District 16 recently addressed key issues facing local residents ahead of the upcoming election. For official election information, voter registration status… -
North Central West Virginia 2026 Election GuideWDTV 5 BRIDGEPORT, W.Va (WDTV) – Voters will cast ballots November 3 in West Virginia, & 5 News has compiled candidate information you need to be prepared. - Rachel Anderson (Democrat) – Morgantown public-interest lawyer and former… -
Early voting begins today in the Eastern PanhandlePending an agreement between South Berkeley Volunteer Fire Company and Berkeley County, this fire hall may be the county's newest early voting site. MARTINSBURG - Early voting for the Nov. 3 general election begins today in the Eastern… -
WV House Democrats to hear from Huntington residents at Kitchen Table Tour Rally next weekAbout 50 people attended the Huntington stop of the House Democrat’s inaugural “Kitchen Table Tour” on Sept. 11, 2025. HUNTINGTON — Residents will have the chance to share concerns and thoughts on issues with West Virginia House of… -
Barbour County Voter Guide: 2026 General ElectionPHILIPPI, W.Va. (WBOY) — Voters in Barbour County will find five contested races on their ballots this November. Long-time incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito looks to remain one of West Virginia’s two U.S. Senators, with both… -
Upshur County Voter Guide: 2026 General ElectionBUCKHANNON, W.Va. (WBOY) — Voters in Upshur County will find up to six contested races on their ballots this November. Long-time incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito looks to remain one of West Virginia’s two U.S. Senators, with both… -
Preston County Voter Guide: 2026 General ElectionKINGWOOD, W.Va. (WBOY) — Voters in Preston County will find up to six contested races on their ballots this November. Long-time incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito looks to remain one of West Virginia’s two U.S. Senators, with both… -
Tucker County Voter Guide: 2026 General ElectionPARSONS, W.Va. (WBOY) — Voters in Tucker County will find six contested races on their ballots this November. Long-time incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito looks to remain one of West Virginia's two U.S. Senators, with both Democrat… -
Marion County Voter Guide: 2026 General ElectionFAIRMONT, W.Va.(WBOY) – Voters in Marion County will find several contested races on their ballots this November. Long-time incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito looks to remain one of West Virginia’s two U.S. Senators, with both… -
U.S. House of Representative candidate: Ace ParsiAce Parsi, Democratic candidate running for West Virginia's 2nd Congressional Distric Seat. Editor’s Note: The following is a part of a series of profiles on candidates running in the General Election being held Nov. 3. MORGANTOWN, W.Va. —… -
The Future Of American Chestnuts In Mason County, This West Virginia MorningAlert (09/29/2026): Our Parkersburg TV transmitter is still undergoing maintenance and remains temporarily inoperative. We apologize for the inconvenience. All our programming is available via our TV livestreams on our website and WVPB…
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10.72%median
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.88%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
45.43%median
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Median 45.43%Middle half 41.92% – 48.29%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions