WV-01 House election: Carol Miller vote percent

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $132 traded · $132 at stake · prices read 56 min ago

The odds

66.47%median

58%78%

Median 66.47%Middle half 63.25% – 69.71%

How the odds have moved

Median: 66.53% on Oct 19, 66.47% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
At least 60%	92%		87¢	96¢	$1.04
At least 62%	83%	▼ 1	78¢	87¢	$1.15
At least 64%	71%	▼ 1	66¢	75¢	$1.33	6.00
At least 66%	54%	▼ 1	50¢	58¢	$1.72	205
At least 68%	37%		33¢	41¢	$2.44	41.00
At least 70%	23%		19¢	27¢	$3.70	7.00
At least 72%	13%		8¢	17¢	$5.88	6.00
At least 74%	6%		2¢	9¢	$11.11
At least 76%	4%		1¢	6¢	$16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: WV- House, Carol Miller

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WV House of Delegates District 16 candidates weigh in on key county issuesWV News · 7 days agoJACKSON COUNTY, W.Va. - Candidates running for West Virginia House of Delegates District 16 recently addressed key issues facing local residents ahead of the upcoming election. For official election information, voter registration status…
President Trump urges West Virginians to vote early, endorses Capito, Miller, and MooreLootpress · 4 days agoDonald Trump speaks at a campaign rally in Charleston in May 2016. WEST VIRGINIA (LOOTPRESS) – President Donald Trump took to social media Thursday evening, October 22, encouraging West Virginia residents to participate in early voting and…
Joseph Wyatt: Any regrets among WV congressional bloc? (Opinion)Charleston Gazette-Mail · 4 days agoWord on the street is that a number of Republican incumbents are calling around to see if friends have a moving truck. An exception is Gov. Patrick Morrisey who isn't up for reelection. If he were, he might be making those calls, too…
Key races for West Virginia@WSAZnews · 6 days agoHUNTINGTON, W.Va . (WSAZ) - This year, voters in West Virginia will choose who will represent them in the U.S. Senate and participate in several other region-wide races. U.S. Senate Race – West Virginia Rachel Fetty Anderson – Democrat…
North Central West Virginia 2026 Election Guide@WDTV5News · 6 days agoWDTV 5 BRIDGEPORT, W.Va (WDTV) – Voters will cast ballots November 3 in West Virginia, & 5 News has compiled candidate information you need to be prepared. - Rachel Anderson (Democrat) – Morgantown public-interest lawyer and former…
Jack Canfield: Vote for the change we need (Opinion)Charleston Gazette-Mail · 7 days agoHave you seen Rep. Carol Miller, R-W.Va., lately? She’s our member of Congress. Remember? Perhaps you’ve seen her in southern West Virginia championing the cause for clean water for men, women and children in some of the 28 counties she…
WV House Democrats to hear from Huntington residents at Kitchen Table Tour Rally next weekThe Herald-Dispatch · 11 days agoAbout 50 people attended the Huntington stop of the House Democrat’s inaugural “Kitchen Table Tour” on Sept. 11, 2025. HUNTINGTON — Residents will have the chance to share concerns and thoughts on issues with West Virginia House of…
WV House Democrats again ask Morrisey, GOP colleagues to suspend gas tax after no movement on issueTimes West Virginian · 13 days agoTimes West Virginian Del. Sean Hornbuckle, D-Cabell, addresses the House chamber in April 2025. CHARLESTON â West Virginia House Democrats are again asking Gov. Patrick Morrisey and Republican lawmakers to address high gas prices by…
WV House District 78 Preview@WDTV5News · 14 days agoWDTV 5 WV House District 78 Preview KRIS WARNER INTERVIEW: Tomorrow Last Day to Register to Vote First Alert: Brief Break in Rain as Skies Clear for Tuesday

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onOffice of the Secretary of State, Charleston, WV

Trading closesNov 3, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$132 (265 contracts)

At stake$132

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Carol Miller in the 2026 WV-01 House election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions