Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
28.42%median
14%34%
Median 28.42%Middle half 26.14% – 30.91%
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WI-05 House election: Scott Fitzgerald vote percent
The odds
59.35%median
50%70%
Median 59.35%Middle half 56.65% – 62.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 58.57% on Oct 19, 59.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 54% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| At least 56% | 81% | 76¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| At least 58% | 64% | 59¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | ||
| At least 60% | 44% | 39¢ | 48¢ | $2.08 | ||
| At least 62% | 26% | 21¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | ||
| At least 64% | 13% | 8¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| At least 66% | 6% | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | ||
| At least 68% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WI- House, Scott Fitzgerald
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State AGs Go on Antitrust OffensiveHouse Judiciary Committee Subcommittee Chairman Scott Fitzgerald (R-WI) introduced a discussion draft of legislation that would grant the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and Department of Justice (DOJ) exclusive authority to review or… -
House Republicans Subpoena New Jersey Secretary of State for Information on the State Registering Over 6,000 Noncitizens to VoteWASHINGTON, D.C. – Today, House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-OH), House Administration Committee Chairman Bryan Steil (R-WI), House Judiciary Subcommittee on Oversight Chairman Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ), and House Administration… -
The Daily Cartoon and Live Briefing: Wednesday, October 21, 2026October 21, 2026 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments Weather: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Windy, with a northeast wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Wednesday Night: Mostly… - Fundraising Update: Representative Scott Fitzgerald just disclosed $260.1K of new fundraisingRepresentative Scott Fitzgerald just disclosed $260.1K of fundraising in a Q3 FEC disclosure filed on October 15th, 2026. This is the 465th most from all Q3 reports we have seen from politicians so far this year. 40.4% came from individual…
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Candidate forum: Andrew Beck outlines economy, AI & healthcare plansCongressional District 5 candidate Andrew Beck spoke ahead of the Nov. 3 election at the Jefferson County Fair Park Activity Center. JEFFERSON — Congressional District 5 candidate Andrew Beck (D) spoke at the Jefferson County Fair Park… -
Shame on me for being fooled by Donald TrumpWe former fans of Donald J. Trump can all remember where we were when we finally admitted that the POTUS was potty. We would now be required to grimly gorge on so much humble pie that we might as well go in for a competitive eating contest… -
Two Weeks in Review: 5—16 October 2026Award of the Nobel Peace Prize to Navi Pillay High moral character at the ICC 80 years after Nuremberg: the crime of aggression Calculation of interest in ISDS UN Global Dialogue on AI Governance As ever, events and announcements can be… -
Brett Favre and Tom Tiffany appear at Hunter Nation event in WaukeshaU.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany, center, prepares to throw a football signed by Pro Football Hall of Famer Brett Favre, left, into the crowd at a Hunter Nation event at Stein’s Aircraft Services in Waukesha. Tiffany appeared at the event as part of… -
Meet the candidates: Democratic challengers discuss healthcare, housing & educationWATERTOWN — For each of the three Democrats who spoke at the candidate forum Wednesday night, beating their Republican counterparts is an uphill climb, but they remained unfettered in their comments. The forum was held at Madison Area…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions