Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
27.83%median
14%34%
Median 27.83%Middle half 25.59% – 30.33%
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WA-07 House election: Pramila Jayapal vote percent
The odds
90.74%median
78%98%
Median 90.74%Middle half 88.17% – 92.98%
How the odds have moved
Median: 88.52% on Oct 19, 90.74% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 80% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 82% | 96% | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 84% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 86% | 88% | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | ||
| At least 88% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | ||
| At least 90% | 59% | 54¢ | 63¢ | $1.59 | ||
| At least 92% | 36% | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 10.00 | |
| At least 94% | 14% | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 20.00 | |
| At least 96% | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Pramila Jayapal
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Elon Musk vows to fight back if Democrats investigate him after midterms: ‘Live by the sword, die by the sword’Elon Musk warned Wednesday that he would fight back against Democrats who are reportedly planning to target him with investigations if they gain control of the House in next month’s midterms. “Live by the sword, die by the sword,” Musk… -
WATCH: Longer Video DEBUNKS Long Beach ICE ‘Victim’ Sob Story as Ricardo Gonzalez is Shown Assaulting AgentThe initial clips that circulated widely captured Gonzalez pinned face-down in a gutter, screaming that his arm was broken and that he was a U.S. citizen. — End Wokeness (@EndWokeness) October 22, 2026 Those videos, shared by groups such… -
Democrats Screech About ICE Injuring a US Citizen - Then Video of the Start of the Conflict EmergesOn Monday, Washington Democratic Rep. Pramila Jayapal posted footage to social media platform X showing a man in Long Beach, California, being arrested by ICE officers, saying he was “assaulted and injured.” According to KABC-TV, the man… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
Jayapal and Sanders demand Meta respond to reports of content restrictionSEATTLE, Wash. — Washington Congressional Representative Pramila Jayapal and Senator Bernie Sanders issued a statement Thursday calling for a response from Meta after reports of restricting content from Brazil’s incumbent President Luiz… -
Indian-Origin US Midterms Candidate Backs Visa Crackdown, Flags 'H-1B Misuse By Fake Firms'Nirav Sheth, an Indian-origin Republican candidate in the US midterm polls, has justified the Donald Trump administration's crackdown on immigration, particularly the cancellation of hundreds of visas such as H-1B used mainly by Indian… -
From Pia Dandiya To Ro Khanna: Meet The Desis Looking To Shape Congress In US Midterm ElectionsThe November 3 US midterm elections will feature six Indian-American Democrats either defending their seats in the House or trying to win new ones. Four sitting members, Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal, Ami Bera and Suhas Subramanyam, are… -
House Dems Target Hegseth for Impeachment if They Win MidtermsHouse Democrats are already plotting to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth if they regain control of Congress in November, making the Trump administration official a top target of their anticipated return to power. While Democratic… -
Musk Threatens Counterattack if Democrats Investigate DOGEElon Musk is making clear that if Democrats seize Congress and train investigative powers on him and his cost-cutting DOGE initiative, he won't take it quietly. In posts on... Musk Threatens Counterattack if Democrats Investigate DOGE Elon… -
Iran Plans to Win the War by Helping Democrats WinDaniel Greenfield , Bio and Archives--October 23, 2026 American Politics, News | Comments | Reader Friendly | Subscribe | Email Us After years of being told that taking out Iran’s nuclear weapons would lead to WWIII, the Islamic terrorist… -
WA deploys National Guard at ballot boxes for election securityElection security is top of mind, especially for Clark County Auditor Greg Kimsey, after someone lit an explosive inside a ballot box in Vancouver, Washington back in 2024. EVERETT, Wash. - Washington National Guard troops will be at… - Pete Hegseth could face impeachment as Democrats plot post-midterm movesDemocrats in the US House of Representatives are pushing to impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and may begin the process if the midterm elections prove successful for the party, according to a Friday Wall Street Journal report. “One of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions