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WA-07 House election: Nirav Sheth vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 10.03% on Oct 19, 9.35% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 4% | 97% | 94¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| At least 6% | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| At least 8% | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| At least 10% | 43% | 38¢ | 47¢ | $2.13 | ||
| At least 12% | 25% | 20¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| At least 14% | 14% | 9¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | ||
| At least 16% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 5.00 | |
| At least 18% | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.00 | |
| At least 20% | 4% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: WA- House, Nirav Sheth
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Indian-Origin US Midterms Candidate Backs Visa Crackdown, Flags 'H-1B Misuse By Fake Firms'Nirav Sheth, an Indian-origin Republican candidate in the US midterm polls, has justified the Donald Trump administration's crackdown on immigration, particularly the cancellation of hundreds of visas such as H-1B used mainly by Indian… -
In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s businessWASHINGTON, D.C. â John Braun often points to his credentials as the president of his family's manufacturing company in his campaign to unseat U.S. Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez. Javascript is required to use this website. Washington… -
US midterm elections 2026: Who are the Indian-origin candidates and where are they contesting?The elections will determine which party controls Congress for the final two years of US President Donald Trump’s second term. All 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 Senate seats are scheduled to be contested, alongside… - In tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business - The Seattle TimesIn tight WA House race, sparks fly over safety at challenger’s business The Seattle Times
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From Pia Dandiya To Ro Khanna: Meet The Desis Looking To Shape Congress In US Midterm ElectionsThe November 3 US midterm elections will feature six Indian-American Democrats either defending their seats in the House or trying to win new ones. Four sitting members, Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal, Ami Bera and Suhas Subramanyam, are… -
Who’s running where? Indian-origin candidates in the 2026 US midtermsMore than a dozen Indian-origin candidates are vying for key offices across the US, from governor’s mansions and state capitals to Congress and city hall, as the 2026 midterm elections approach With the US midterm elections approaching… -
Vivek Ramaswamy, Ro Khanna: 8 Indian-Americans in fray for US midterm electionsThe United States will hold its midterm election on November 3, with President Donald Trump's Republican Party facing a crucial electoral test against the opposition Democratic Party. Against the backdrop of voter concerns over rising… -
Indian-American Republicans take on Democrats Ro Khanna, Jayapal with $5,000 eachIndian-American Republican candidates Ritesh Tandon and Nirav Sheth report around $5,000 each as they challenge Democratic Representatives Ro Khanna and Pramila Jayapal for the US House. Indian-American Republicans take on Democrats Ro… -
Indian-American Republican Challengers Face Huge Campaign Funding Gap Against Ro Khanna, Pramila Jayapal| X Washington, Oct 18: Two Indian-American Republicans are challenging Indian-American Democrats Ro Khanna and Pramila Jayapal for the US House with about $5,000 each in the bank, Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings show… - Indian-American Republicans take on Democrats Khanna, Jayapal with $5K eachIndia Abroad® and New India Abroad®, publications of Indian Star LLC, are primarily meant to keep the Global Indian Diaspora informed about what is happening in India, the world and in their own neighborhoods through digital platforms, and…
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Washington’s Desi Midterm Showdown: Indian-Americans Nirav Sheth And Pramila Jayapal Go Head-To-HeadTwo Indian-Americans. Two parties. Two very different visions of America. And one congressional seat in a district where the Republican challenger faces a formidable electoral mountain. As the United States heads towards the November 3… -
US Rep Pramila Jayapal's office receives suspicious package; staff safeThe Washington Democrat said her office was following protocol after receiving a package similar to those sent to lawmakers and election officials nationwide. With just over a week left for the US midterm elections, US Representative…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions